inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement5.5 [687] MVPPeja Stojakovic (NOH): +16.5%
New Orleans Hornets 101 Comeback3.6 [458] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -13.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.011074%0.141-0.02367%-0.01
Michael Finley0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.001159%0.1000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.041757%0.125-0.08667%-0.02
Jacque Vaughn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.001100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.040.001459%0.073-0.08450%-0.01
Kurt Thomas-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brent Barry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.0410%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Fabricio Oberto-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Robert Horry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01921%-0.111-0.03650%-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.140.030.011569%0.1700.002100%0.01
David West0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.09-0.022359%0.244-0.07580%0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.00956%0.0700.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.01762%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.01617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.020.061645%-0.072-0.05650%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.921.633.119.828.44.430.4162.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +24.4%
SAS -0.7%
NOH +16.6%
NOH +9.6%
NOH +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOHNBASASNOHNBA
this game17.516.615.496.5120.2105.7
season16.515.9104.7109.6
opponent15.715.3104.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.919.216.518.417.5
NOH17.714.416.218.516.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn13120.03-0.530.560.09-2-171517.017.6-0.5719.216.23.00
Fabricio Oberto37360.00-0.500.51-0.114-232716.518.2-1.7616.216.9-0.70
Damon Stoudamire320.00-0.500.500.12-4-151111.717.7-6.0326.016.49.63
Ime Udoka320.00-0.500.500.12-4-151111.717.7-6.0326.016.49.63
Brent Barry77-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-151115.617.7-2.0818.916.42.47
Kurt Thomas3533-0.15-0.350.200.11-9-10117.617.40.2017.915.72.21
Robert Horry2221-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-11317.517.5-0.0415.017.1-2.19
Manu Ginobili6262-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-161316.520.2-3.6914.921.4-6.52
Michael Finley4746-0.32-0.18-0.130.03-12-7-518.716.02.6318.514.34.21
Bruce Bowen6061-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-17-2-1518.215.72.5015.918.3-2.41
Tim Duncan6466-0.530.03-0.560.03-190-1918.215.42.7916.716.10.69
Tony Parker7272-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-17-2-1517.617.00.5716.219.2-3.00

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson44450.460.040.410.021541116.017.2-1.2517.417.6-0.22
Peja Stojakovic66660.420.080.34-0.081721516.018.9-2.9217.716.70.96
David West69690.370.130.230.07109116.716.00.7217.318.2-0.95
Chris Paul71730.350.150.20-0.03136717.114.12.9817.020.7-3.71
Jannero Pargo36350.270.230.03-0.12136716.616.6-0.0218.716.62.09
Tyson Chandler62620.250.250.01-0.13136716.517.0-0.5517.617.20.36
Melvin Ely22230.250.25-0.010.07613-717.016.50.5517.217.6-0.36
Bonzi Wells31320.110.39-0.270.08118-1717.016.40.6418.516.91.63
Julian Wright17170.030.47-0.44-0.06316-1316.316.7-0.3816.517.7-1.26
Ryan Bowen230.000.50-0.50-0.12415-1126.016.49.6311.717.7-6.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 100, CHH 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,193.4%
MIA 89, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,193.1%
ORL 98, LAL 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.83,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,192.9%