NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	2.4 [1261]		MVP	Delonte West (CLE): +10.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.2 [746]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -7.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	6	92%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	7%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	8	64%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	11	84%	0.13	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	8	85%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.6	36.2	18.7	33.1	3.5	37.6	157.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +42.2%

CLE +3.0%

BOS -0.3%

CLE +3.9%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	17.2	17.3	15.4	101.2	128.6	105.7
season	15.6	16.4		108.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	19.6	20.0	13.6	16.4	17.2
CLE	18.3	17.9	18.3	14.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.15	-5	-19	14	15.4	17.4	-1.94	13.7	17.6	-3.90
Glen Davis	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	15.4	17.4	-1.94	13.7	17.6	-3.90
Eddie House	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	15.3	17.6	-2.31	12.1	18.2	-6.16
P.J. Brown	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-23	22	19.4	16.6	2.78	17.1	17.3	-0.29
James Posey	39	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-16	8	18.1	16.4	1.69	16.0	18.5	-2.42
Leon Powe	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-16	8	19.0	16.4	2.57	17.3	17.3	0.03
Sam Cassell	29	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-19	14	18.9	16.3	2.65	17.2	17.3	-0.13
Ray Allen	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-11	-2	17.0	17.7	-0.69	17.7	16.0	1.62
Rajon Rondo	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-12	0	16.7	17.7	-1.08	18.6	15.9	2.71
Kendrick Perkins	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-9	-6	16.3	18.4	-2.07	18.2	16.3	1.92
Kevin Garnett	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-11	-2	16.5	19.4	-2.98	17.6	16.3	1.27
Paul Pierce	64	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.29	-30	6	-36	17.3	16.9	0.40	17.8	15.6	2.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.30	29	-5	34	17.8	14.6	3.17	17.1	17.7	-0.61
Wally Szczerbiak	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	4	16	17.7	14.8	2.84	17.5	15.0	2.51
Delonte West	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	8	8	18.2	14.1	4.11	17.1	17.6	-0.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	16	-8	18.7	15.5	3.12	17.4	16.9	0.46
Anderson Varejao	18	18	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	9	6	17.4	17.3	0.13	19.8	16.5	3.29
Ben Wallace	50	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	22	-20	17.9	16.4	1.47	16.5	18.2	-1.77
Joe Smith	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.26	16	8	8	15.9	18.8	-2.92	17.0	17.4	-0.38
Daniel Gibson	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	16	-8	15.8	18.5	-2.73	18.5	16.2	2.26
Sasha Pavlovic	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	10.6	17.7	-7.11	12.8	17.5	-4.69
Devin Brown	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	10.6	17.7	-7.11	12.8	17.5	-4.69
Dwayne Jones	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	10.6	17.7	-7.11	12.8	17.5	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 81, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 98, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
UTA 84, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%