NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	2.1 [1291]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +7.4%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.0 [1219]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -7.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	3	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Dee Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	8	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.07	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	3.6	37.2	19.8	30.2	3.6	32.0	152.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.9%

SAS +5.7%

UTA -2.4%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	16.9	15.4	91.3	121.1	104.5
season	15.9	16.2		107.4	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		98.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	16.7	15.8	12.2	14.8
SAS	15.4	16.0	17.0	19.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	32	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.21	8	-33	41	13.8	15.3	-1.45	19.1	15.8	3.23
Rafael Araujo	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-20	15	14.9	14.7	0.19	18.6	16.4	2.23
Jarron Collins	11	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-25	25	13.1	15.0	-1.90	19.1	16.7	2.44
Dee Brown	35	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-25	25	13.7	15.4	-1.64	18.6	16.1	2.53
Derek Fisher	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.14	-8	-17	9	14.8	14.7	0.08	17.7	16.5	1.17
Paul Millsap	46	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-12	-1	14.1	15.5	-1.39	16.7	17.1	-0.46
Matt Harpring	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.30	-20	-5	-15	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.4	18.0	-2.60
Gordan Giricek	44	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.33	-22	-3	-19	13.6	15.8	-2.20	16.4	17.4	-0.95
Deron Williams	44	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-8	-9	15.6	14.0	1.68	16.1	17.8	-1.64
Mehmet Okur	47	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-11	-3	15.2	14.3	0.92	16.1	17.8	-1.68
Andrei Kirilenko	59	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-13	1	15.7	13.1	2.60	17.0	16.7	0.29
Carlos Boozer	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	-3	-19	15.1	14.3	0.82	16.3	18.0	-1.72

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	5	15	16.4	17.6	-1.20	15.7	13.6	2.08
Fabricio Oberto	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	6	13	16.5	17.5	-0.94	16.1	12.8	3.27
Michael Finley	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.16	18	7	11	16.7	17.1	-0.32	16.3	13.4	2.94
Bruce Bowen	48	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	1	23	16.1	17.9	-1.77	15.9	13.6	2.32
Tim Duncan	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	7	11	16.2	18.1	-1.92	15.6	13.6	2.06
Manu Ginobili	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	11	3	15.4	18.2	-2.87	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Robert Horry	24	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	12	1	14.7	17.7	-2.95	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Jacque Vaughn	38	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	20	-15	17.6	16.4	1.20	13.6	15.7	-2.08
Francisco Elson	29	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	23	-21	18.5	16.2	2.32	13.3	15.5	-2.22
Matt Bonner	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	20.9	16.0	4.90	12.1	15.5	-3.41
Beno Udrih	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	20.9	16.0	4.90	12.1	15.5	-3.41
Brent Barry	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	29	-33	18.3	16.2	2.15	13.1	15.6	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 77, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
GSW 89, SAS 129	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DEN 81, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%