inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 89 Excitement2.2 [1281] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +7.5%
San Antonio Spurs 129 Comeback1.0 [1232] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -7.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.04767%0.0400.004100%0.01
Anthony Roberson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.110.000.081666%0.0210.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.021045%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0010.00250%0.00
Keith McLeod-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01643%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01637%-0.0300.00450%-0.00
Troy Murphy-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01050%0.002-0.03250%-0.01
Baron Davis-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.051527%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.01825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.160.00-0.081632%-0.044-0.04250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.02970%0.0800.002100%0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.170.000.118100%0.061-0.002100%-0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.05976%0.062-0.013100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.01750%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02864%0.031-0.016100%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.100.000.105100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.071338%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.085100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.002100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01743%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.011350%0.032-0.03475%-0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.00-0.03825%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.524.315.729.02.425.5127.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.5%
SAS +3.6%
SAS +14.5%
GSW -3.8%
SAS +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game13.215.615.488.1130.3104.5
season13.516.2105.7107.5
opponent15.415.298.9105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.813.413.213.513.2
SAS15.615.415.615.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick O'Bryant2425-0.00-0.500.500.23-8-322413.513.10.3515.915.60.33
Adonal Foyle2727-0.00-0.500.490.38-13-271412.613.4-0.7615.815.60.25
Matt Barnes3635-0.00-0.500.490.05-2-383613.613.00.5715.715.60.08
Keith McLeod4143-0.08-0.420.340.16-8-322412.413.7-1.3015.216.0-0.84
Anthony Roberson6969-0.12-0.380.260.47-20-20013.512.60.8715.615.7-0.04
Mike Dunleavy4847-0.23-0.270.040.41-22-18-413.612.80.7914.916.3-1.41
Andris Biedrins4643-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-23614.212.31.9316.015.30.73
Troy Murphy3028-0.32-0.18-0.140.27-20-20012.613.4-0.7917.315.02.35
Monta Ellis7471-0.44-0.06-0.390.47-31-9-2212.415.3-2.8315.416.3-0.91
Baron Davis5655-0.44-0.06-0.390.35-27-13-1413.412.90.5015.515.8-0.33
Mickael Pietrus5452-0.550.05-0.610.39-32-8-2413.213.2-0.0115.715.50.20

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen49520.420.080.34-0.4329111816.414.81.6114.112.21.87
Tim Duncan40430.370.130.23-0.252119217.314.52.7913.612.90.64
Tony Parker53560.320.180.14-0.211822-416.714.52.2013.712.51.26
Francisco Elson52520.280.220.07-0.5428121614.417.0-2.5613.812.51.36
Michael Finley48510.270.230.03-0.061129-1816.414.91.4713.313.00.29
Robert Horry31320.230.27-0.03-0.472416813.716.5-2.7613.313.10.14
Brent Barry41420.200.30-0.10-0.301723-614.316.6-2.3413.213.20.00
Beno Udrih53510.160.34-0.18-0.371822-415.016.4-1.4512.513.9-1.49
Fabricio Oberto54540.130.37-0.23-0.311525-1016.215.01.2512.114.4-2.35
Manu Ginobili34360.120.38-0.27-0.15931-2213.916.5-2.6312.613.5-0.94
Eric Williams20180.000.50-0.50-0.15535-3016.715.41.4012.613.3-0.70
Matt Bonner20180.000.50-0.50-0.15535-3016.715.41.4012.613.3-0.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 84, PHI 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
UTA 84, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
LAL 77, GSW 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%