NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	2.1 [1291]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +16.8%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.0 [961]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -6.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fabricio Oberto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	18	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	17	44%	0.00	5	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.27	0.00	0.11	11	96%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	15	44%	0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	19	53%	0.03	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	11	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	11	28%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.3	3.6	39.0	19.8	24.9	3.0	32.2	159.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.3%

PHX +7.8%

PHX +6.1%

PHX +11.1%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.4	87.8	111.7	105.7
season	16.5	13.8		104.7	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.6	15.0	14.4	14.8	15.0
PHX	12.1	13.8	15.7	19.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-24	29	14.5	15.1	-0.63	19.2	13.8	5.40
Jacque Vaughn	31	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-27	35	13.9	15.5	-1.59	17.8	13.8	3.98
Michael Finley	47	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-20	21	14.3	15.6	-1.35	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Kurt Thomas	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.25	-11	-8	-3	15.1	14.9	0.15	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Brent Barry	58	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.45	12	-31	43	14.0	16.3	-2.27	15.2	14.8	0.38
Fabricio Oberto	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-27	35	13.5	15.5	-2.04	17.5	14.2	3.24
Ime Udoka	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.25	-14	-5	-9	13.4	15.7	-2.35	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Robert Horry	41	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-13	7	16.0	14.2	1.87	14.2	15.6	-1.32
Tony Parker	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	0	-19	15.7	13.8	1.89	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Bruce Bowen	41	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.56	-33	14	-47	15.9	14.3	1.62	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Manu Ginobili	45	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.21	-22	3	-25	15.6	14.4	1.18	13.2	16.6	-3.39
Tim Duncan	58	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	5	-29	16.0	13.4	2.55	14.3	16.2	-1.92

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	89	92	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	1	17	14.8	19.0	-4.18	14.8	17.8	-3.06
Steve Nash	59	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.23	24	-5	29	13.6	17.5	-3.98	15.4	14.1	1.30
Shaquille O'Neal	49	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.37	27	-8	35	13.4	16.8	-3.46	15.4	14.5	0.98
Raja Bell	76	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.29	24	-5	29	15.2	14.6	0.60	15.4	12.9	2.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.44	29	-10	39	15.1	14.9	0.20	15.7	13.7	1.96
Leandro Barbosa	55	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	19	-19	14.9	15.2	-0.32	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Gordan Giricek	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	22	-25	15.6	14.5	1.15	13.5	16.3	-2.82
Brian Skinner	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	31	-43	18.1	14.1	3.98	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Eric Piatkowski	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	26.0	14.8	11.20	15.0	15.0	0.04
Sean Marks	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	21.3	14.8	6.50	16.7	14.9	1.87
DJ Strawberry	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	28	-37	20.3	14.5	5.85	13.1	15.1	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, PHX 137	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
OKC 85, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
WAS 73, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%