NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	6.1 [605]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +27.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	1.5 [995]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -11.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26	0.27	0.00	0.02	20	82%	0.36	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	15	50%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
James Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	12	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	11	32%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.15	-0.02	24	57%	0.33	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.02	10	59%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	20	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	69%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.7	31.2	20.6	24.0	3.5	38.5	147.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +23.3%

LAC +7.6%

LAC +16.8%

LAC +2.7%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	16.6	15.6	116.3	122.6	104.4
season	13.8	15.2		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	14.1	13.1	15.2	14.5
LAC	15.7	15.9	17.4	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	14.1	14.7	-0.58	16.8	16.5	0.27
Tim Thomas	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-6	5	14.6	14.2	0.48	16.7	16.3	0.44
Steve Nash	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-5	3	14.1	16.4	-2.35	16.5	17.2	-0.68
Leandro Barbosa	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	13.7	16.0	-2.30	16.5	16.9	-0.41
Boris Diaw	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	2	-11	14.9	12.7	2.12	16.4	17.6	-1.21
Raja Bell	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	14.4	15.7	-1.31	16.7	16.0	0.65
Shawn Marion	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	5	-17	15.4	12.3	3.07	16.9	16.0	0.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	88	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	0	7	16.9	11.2	5.73	14.6	13.6	0.95
Shaun Livingston	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Sam Cassell	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	16.8	15.8	0.98	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Corey Maggette	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-6	19	16.0	18.2	-2.25	15.1	12.9	2.20
Quinton Ross	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-2	11	16.3	16.8	-0.45	14.9	14.3	0.66
Cuttino Mobley	80	77	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	3	1	16.5	17.5	-0.97	14.6	14.1	0.44
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	16	-25	18.6	14.8	3.83	14.4	14.6	-0.13
Walter McCarty	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	0.5	17.0	-16.48	5.0	14.6	-9.60
Daniel Ewing	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	0.5	17.0	-16.48	5.0	14.6	-9.60
James Singleton	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.6	16.5	1.10	12.9	14.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 79, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.92,1	93.1%
MIA 77, ORL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.72,1	92.8%
NOH 87, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%