NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	93		Excitement	5.0 [837]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +19.9%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.1 [1134]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -10.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	8	73%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.07	0.06	18	51%	0.08	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.05	-0.01	18	61%	0.22	1	-0.03	15	87%	0.07
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	9	72%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.04	7	67%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.03	15	56%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	3.6	31.4	19.7	28.1	3.6	37.3	154.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +0.9%

DAL +21.7%

DAL +11.0%

DAL +14.8%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.4	15.6	108.1	118.4	104.4
season	17.1	16.4		103.5	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	14.9	18.0	15.2	15.8
DAL	18.9	16.4	16.3	18.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-11	12	16.0	15.8	0.16	21.7	17.2	4.52
Chucky Atkins	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.05	16.6	17.8	-1.22
Eddie Jones	62	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.2	17.6	-2.46	17.7	16.9	0.78
Brian Cardinal	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.7	15.9	-0.16	16.5	17.6	-1.06
Shane Battier	72	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-15	20	15.8	16.0	-0.18	17.7	16.4	1.35
Lorenzen Wright	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	15.1	16.1	-1.02	17.3	17.5	-0.22
Jake Tsakalidis	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	4	-18	17.2	14.0	3.20	16.6	18.6	-2.06
Pau Gasol	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-8	6	15.9	15.7	0.16	17.6	16.5	1.06
Bobby Jackson	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-6	2	15.9	15.8	0.05	17.8	16.6	1.22
Mike Miller	49	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	4	-18	15.7	16.0	-0.31	17.4	17.5	-0.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	48	47	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-11	32	17.3	17.6	-0.37	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Dirk Nowitzki	82	80	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	0	10	17.4	17.8	-0.39	15.7	17.2	-1.42
Jason Terry	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-3	16	17.4	17.4	0.01	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Jerry Stackhouse	58	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	5	0	17.9	16.5	1.43	16.0	15.6	0.38
Erick Dampier	59	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	10	-10	18.4	15.4	3.07	15.8	16.0	-0.18
DeSagana Diop	28	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	0	10	15.4	18.4	-3.07	16.0	15.8	0.18
Devin Harris	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	13	-16	17.4	17.4	-0.01	16.8	15.6	1.24
Josh Howard	30	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	14	-18	18.0	17.1	0.91	16.6	15.4	1.23
Adrian Griffin	43	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	12	-14	16.6	18.2	-1.65	15.6	16.1	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.8%
MIA 73, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.2%