NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	126		Excitement	9.2 [128]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +23.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	118		Comeback	27.2 [39]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -22.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	9	88%	0.29	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.07	0.04	14	78%	0.37	3	-0.15	13	100%	0.10
Tim Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.11	0.02	15	60%	0.24	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.01	14	63%	0.23	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	-0.03	20	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0.04,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.14	0.05	35	66%	0.42	7	-0.18	6	83%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.13	0.03	9	89%	0.28	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	8	74%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.24	5	-0.21	8	62%	-0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	11	45%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	5	17%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	2.8	40.1	20.3	28.4	3.5	32.4	2.8	16.7	176.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.7%

PHX +10.0%

LAL -8.5%

PHX +11.7%

PHX +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.9	15.6	122.3	115.7	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.8	13.9	14.2	17.7	11.5	14.1
LAL	16.0	16.1	17.1	20.2	14.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	95	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-3	14	14.2	13.2	0.95	17.1	14.9	2.21
Shawn Marion	96	95	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	0	8	14.3	11.7	2.59	17.2	12.7	4.51
Steve Nash	92	90	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	13.7	17.5	-3.73	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Tim Thomas	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	10	-12	14.4	13.5	0.90	17.0	16.8	0.13
Leandro Barbosa	79	80	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	-1	10	14.7	12.3	2.39	17.3	15.6	1.63
Eddie House	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	17.5	13.7	3.73	17.5	16.8	0.67
Brian Grant	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	7	-6	11.7	14.3	-2.59	12.7	17.2	-4.51
James Jones	53	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.01	-3	11	-14	13.4	14.9	-1.54	16.5	17.4	-0.92

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	10	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-12	16	15.5	17.1	-1.57	15.0	14.0	0.98
Ronny Turiaf	9	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-8	8	14.3	17.2	-2.83	12.1	14.3	-2.17
Devean George	51	50	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-10	12	15.3	18.6	-3.31	13.3	14.9	-1.64
Sasha Vujacic	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-5	2	15.5	17.6	-2.06	14.0	14.2	-0.23
Smush Parker	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	17.7	14.6	3.12	14.4	13.2	1.17
Lamar Odom	99	100	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	17.0	15.0	1.97	13.9	21.0	-7.08
Kobe Bryant	101	102	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	16.8	25.0	-8.17	14.1	14.0	0.13
Luke Walton	54	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	18.4	15.3	3.10	15.2	12.8	2.46
Kwame Brown	77	79	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.27	-14	6	-20	17.3	15.6	1.68	14.0	14.6	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 114, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,0	90.2%
CLE 132, MEM 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.45,0.43,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.16,0.01,0	90.0%
POR 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.74,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.08,0	89.2%