NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	6.2 [607]		MVP	Robert Horry (SAS): +16.7%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.3 [1031]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (SAS): -13.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	4	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.04	19	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	55%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	16	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	16	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	94%	0.24	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	15	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	17	51%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	29%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	9	72%	0.07	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.5	33.3	20.3	28.7	3.6	39.3	155.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +42.4%

SAS +9.4%

SAS +10.2%

DEN -9.8%

DEN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAS	NBA	DEN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.5	100.0	111.2	104.0
season	14.8	16.3		103.8	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	17.8	15.0	15.7	15.5
SAS	17.0	17.3	19.3	14.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-10	10	7.0	15.6	-8.57	10.0	17.0	-6.97
Wesley Person	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	14.9	15.8	-0.83	15.2	17.8	-2.56
Marcus Camby	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	16.0	14.4	1.62	19.0	12.9	6.06
Andre Miller	69	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	0	-10	15.7	14.7	0.93	16.6	17.8	-1.15
Greg Buckner	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-1	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.41	15.4	17.7	-2.31
Carmelo Anthony	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	0	-10	14.9	18.1	-3.20	16.9	16.7	0.17
Kenyon Martin	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-6	2	15.6	15.1	0.49	16.6	17.7	-1.12
Nene	40	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	4	-18	16.1	15.0	1.10	16.6	17.1	-0.53
Earl Boykins	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	-2	-6	15.5	15.6	-0.12	17.3	14.7	2.58

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	68	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	1	8	16.8	17.2	-0.46	15.4	15.6	-0.13
Manu Ginobili	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-2	14	16.6	17.3	-0.71	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Glenn Robinson	26	26	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	-1	12	14.7	17.8	-3.10	18.2	14.4	3.79
Nazr Mohammed	56	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	6	-2	18.4	14.4	3.96	16.1	14.3	1.86
Tony Parker	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	17.4	15.3	2.08	14.6	18.1	-3.53
Beno Udrih	23	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	15.3	17.4	-2.08	18.1	14.6	3.53
Robert Horry	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	4	2	16.8	17.0	-0.22	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	65	65	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	9	-8	17.4	15.5	1.90	14.2	18.8	-4.60
Brent Barry	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	12	-14	16.0	17.5	-1.52	15.5	15.4	0.07
Rasho Nesterovic	1	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	18.0	16.9	1.12	22.0	15.3	6.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	94.4%
LAC 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHX 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.2%