NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	6.6 [451]		MVP	John Wallace (TOR): +9.7%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	1.4 [776]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -16.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	80%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	63%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
James Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	19	39%	-0.03	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.02	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.02	-0.04	31	54%	0.16	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	15	56%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.07
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	57%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	24.2	16.6	21.5	2.3	27.6	117.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.5%

TOR +2.4%

TOR +0.2%

TOR +16.6%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.3	15.6	103.1	111.2	102.5
season	15.5	15.5		101.0	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.5	16.2	16.2	14.6	15.0
TOR	12.2	16.5	13.8	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	50	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-5	2	15.1	15.0	0.04	14.0	14.7	-0.61
Stojko Vrankovic	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-9	10	15.5	14.7	0.78	13.9	14.7	-0.86
Brent Barry	84	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	14.5	18.0	-3.45	14.0	16.9	-2.97
Lamond Murray	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-7	6	14.1	17.7	-3.54	13.7	16.2	-2.54
Eric Piatkowski	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.4	14.8	0.57	15.4	13.8	1.64
Maurice Taylor	42	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	14.5	15.4	-0.86	16.0	13.1	2.98
Rodney Rogers	81	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.0	15.1	-0.02	13.8	16.9	-3.11
James Robinson	38	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	16.4	14.2	2.21	14.9	14.0	0.98
Keith Closs	42	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	6	-20	16.1	14.2	1.85	15.1	13.8	1.31

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	69	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-4	16	13.6	16.1	-2.49	15.4	14.1	1.33
Doug Christie	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	14.0	16.6	-2.68	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Damon Stoudamire	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	14.8	11.9	2.90	15.2	14.3	0.88
Reggie Slater	27	26	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	0	8	13.0	14.8	-1.81	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Zan Tabak	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	16.1	12.2	3.97	15.4	14.7	0.69
Marcus Camby	73	72	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	13.9	15.7	-1.79	15.1	14.9	0.21
Oliver Miller	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	7	-6	14.3	14.3	0.00	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Tracy McGrady	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	7	-6	15.3	13.8	1.48	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Chris Garner	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.7	14.7	-11.02	7.0	15.3	-8.29
Shawn Respert	0	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	8	-8	0.0	14.3	-14.35	5.0	15.1	-10.14
Lloyd Daniels	13	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	10	-12	15.8	14.1	1.64	16.9	14.7	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.3%
DEN 53, DET 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIL 81, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	94.0%