NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	5.5 [748]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +15.5%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	1.1 [1185]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -12.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.03	0.05	10	95%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
James Posey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	65%	0.03	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	19	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.05	19	65%	0.18	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	20	50%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.02	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	590.8	2.8	30.2	-700.4	29.1	2.8	37.3	-7.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.1%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +8.8%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	13.3	15.5	109.6	121.3	104.0
season	16.4	13.5		103.7	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.0	17.2	17.2	14.9	17.3
PHX	11.8	13.5	12.8	15.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-16	21	17.7	17.1	0.62	15.3	12.4	2.94
Bonzi Wells	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-12	13	17.5	17.2	0.23	15.2	12.5	2.76
Brian Cardinal	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-14	17	15.4	18.6	-3.17	14.5	12.6	1.92
Pau Gasol	51	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-10	9	18.3	16.2	2.07	13.6	13.0	0.58
Lorenzen Wright	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	18.2	16.6	1.55	11.5	14.8	-3.31
Stromile Swift	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-2	-7	18.3	16.8	1.50	13.9	13.1	0.82
James Posey	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	16.5	18.3	-1.85	13.9	12.5	1.41
Mike Miller	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	1	-13	17.2	17.5	-0.23	12.5	15.2	-2.76
Jason Williams	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	5	-21	17.1	17.7	-0.62	12.4	15.3	-2.94
Shane Battier	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	0	-11	17.3	17.3	0.05	12.9	14.6	-1.69

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	82	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.04	21	-10	31	13.1	14.8	-1.72	17.6	15.3	2.31
Steven Hunter	36	35	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.12	26	-15	41	12.9	13.6	-0.67	18.6	16.6	2.01
Steve Nash	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-3	17	12.7	15.4	-2.64	17.3	17.3	0.05
Shawn Marion	84	84	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.28	-1	12	-13	13.3	13.7	-0.41	17.3	17.6	-0.33
Jim Jackson	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	8	-5	14.5	12.7	1.83	18.2	16.8	1.36
Quentin Richardson	72	71	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	13	-15	13.0	14.3	-1.29	16.6	19.6	-2.99
Walter McCarty	5	6	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	15.8	13.2	2.61	18.8	17.2	1.63
Leandro Barbosa	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	14	-17	15.4	12.7	2.64	17.3	17.3	-0.05
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	63	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	17	-23	13.4	13.1	0.30	16.5	18.9	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, ORL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 89, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 91, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%