NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	8.4 [189]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +20.9%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	4.2 [235]		LVP	George Lynch (NOH): -17.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.21	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.21	0.06	0.16	0.01	30	58%	0.26	2	-0.05	18	72%	-0.03
Monty Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	58%	0.05	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	33%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.06

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	58%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	70%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.00	27	59%	0.13	3	-0.14	7	71%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	6	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	5	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	3	12%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.6	33.2	19.7	31.2	3.7	45.0	159.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.4%

PHI +30.5%

NOH -0.8%

PHI +3.0%

NOH -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	118.9	115.7	101.6
season	15.3	15.9		102.1	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	16.6	15.9	16.4	16.6
NOH	13.9	16.1	13.5	19.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	69	69	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-7	18	16.3	17.5	-1.16	15.1	17.3	-2.28
Eric Snow	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-1	6	16.6	16.5	0.18	15.8	15.0	0.78
Monty Williams	31	29	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-11	26	15.0	17.4	-2.42	16.6	15.1	1.44
Allen Iverson	89	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	16.8	2.0	14.75	15.6	13.0	2.61
Aaron McKie	42	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	0	4	16.8	16.4	0.37	16.0	15.2	0.85
Keith Van Horn	77	77	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	10	-16	17.0	14.2	2.85	14.6	21.8	-7.22
Greg Buckner	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	2.0	16.8	-14.75	13.0	15.6	-2.61
Kenny Thomas	54	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	10	-16	16.7	16.4	0.29	15.9	15.1	0.73
Tyrone Hill	21	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	11	-18	17.5	16.3	1.16	17.3	15.1	2.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	6	7	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-6	8	8.7	16.1	-7.42	12.0	17.0	-4.98
David Wesley	58	58	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-2	0	14.7	17.3	-2.57	16.7	16.4	0.23
Courtney Alexander	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-3	2	16.3	15.5	0.83	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Jerome Moiso	32	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	4	-12	17.9	14.3	3.67	16.2	16.8	-0.53
Baron Davis	60	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.43	8	-12	20	16.0	14.7	1.33	17.8	13.9	3.86
Jamaal Magloire	43	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	4	-12	15.0	16.2	-1.18	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Robert Traylor	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	16.5	14.7	1.78	17.8	15.4	2.36
Robert Pack	18	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	7	-18	14.5	15.9	-1.36	12.8	17.5	-4.69
P.J. Brown	57	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-8	12	14.3	17.9	-3.67	16.8	16.2	0.53
Jamal Mashburn	80	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.42	-3	-1	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.83	16.7	15.8	0.90
George Lynch	37	37	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.56	-5	1	-6	17.6	14.2	3.39	16.3	16.8	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.32,0.05,0	91.5%
MIA 97, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.27,0	90.8%
SAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.33,0.08,0	90.3%