NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	80		Excitement	5.6 [660]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +11.7%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	2.7 [566]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -21.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	31%	-0.16	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Chauncey Billups	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	22	42%	-0.14	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.03	20	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	71%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeryl Sasser	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.06	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	13	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.4	32.8	17.0	35.2	2.7	41.2	158.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.3%

DET -7.0%

DET -14.2%

ORL +14.6%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	19.0	13.9	15.5	90.9	102.3	101.6
season	16.8	14.6		101.7	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.3	18.8	21.9	17.2	19.0
ORL	15.1	12.5	12.4	15.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	37	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-11	13	19.9	18.4	1.52	13.4	14.2	-0.87
Jon Barry	25	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-8	7	16.6	20.0	-3.31	14.1	13.8	0.35
Tayshaun Prince	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	18.4	19.2	-0.79	16.1	13.2	2.86
Mehmet Okur	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	20.0	18.9	1.07	11.3	14.1	-2.81
Chucky Atkins	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	16.9	20.9	-4.04	14.1	13.7	0.42
Chauncey Billups	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.18	-4	-5	1	20.5	17.3	3.18	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Ben Wallace	83	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	18.9	21.2	-2.32	14.1	9.8	4.32
Corliss Williamson	45	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	1	-11	19.6	18.4	1.25	14.8	12.9	1.97
Richard Hamilton	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	0	-9	19.0	19.1	-0.05	13.4	15.6	-2.12
Clifford Robinson	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	19.6	17.5	2.08	13.3	15.6	-2.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	70	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	1	7	13.5	15.5	-1.98	18.9	19.3	-0.33
Darrell Armstrong	60	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	13.4	14.9	-1.53	18.6	19.9	-1.24
Tracy McGrady	85	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.9	11.0	2.94	19.2	12.5	6.66
Drew Gooden	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	13.6	14.6	-1.08	19.4	18.1	1.28
Andrew DeClercq	38	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	7	-5	13.4	14.2	-0.85	20.6	17.8	2.85
Pat Burke	25	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	10	-1	11	13.6	14.0	-0.33	18.5	19.2	-0.67
Chris Whitney	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	7	-5	14.2	13.8	0.37	18.3	19.1	-0.84
Shawn Kemp	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	9	-9	17.2	13.4	3.79	21.0	18.8	2.24
Jeryl Sasser	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	10	-11	18.7	13.4	5.26	20.9	18.9	2.01
Pat Garrity	22	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.12	2	7	-5	14.0	13.8	0.23	15.6	20.2	-4.61
Jacque Vaughn	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	10	-11	13.8	13.9	-0.16	18.8	19.1	-0.37
Steven Hunter	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	13	-17	15.1	13.6	1.52	19.3	18.9	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, NOH 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	94.6%
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%