NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	6.0 [648]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +36.5%
New Orleans Hornets	112		Comeback	4.2 [681]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -19.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37	0.40	0.03	0.06	32	77%	0.37	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.02	19	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	71%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	6	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Ruben Patterson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	7	19%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	13	78%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	17	65%	0.16	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.06	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	16	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	14	93%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	27.2	14.8	25.5	2.6	41.4	138.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -2.2%

NOH +17.2%

NOH +20.7%

NOH +12.4%

NOH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.5	124.7	131.8	104.0
season	15.8	16.5		101.2	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	18.6	17.7	12.8	16.3
NOH	17.4	17.4	17.4	17.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	18.4	16.0	2.36	22.5	16.9	5.59
Richie Frahm	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	17.6	16.1	1.45	18.2	17.5	0.71
Travis Outlaw	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-9	12	14.4	18.7	-4.33	18.0	17.0	1.04
Ruben Patterson	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-5	4	17.1	15.1	2.05	16.7	19.0	-2.25
Joel Przybilla	60	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.40	5	-11	16	15.5	18.2	-2.72	17.6	17.6	-0.04
Derek Anderson	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	18.9	14.9	4.04	19.4	16.6	2.75
Theo Ratliff	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	8	-22	18.3	15.4	2.95	19.3	16.8	2.57
James Thomas	40	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-3	0	15.4	17.1	-1.69	16.1	19.0	-2.81
Nick Van Exel	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-3	0	16.1	17.6	-1.47	17.4	18.8	-1.44
Damon Stoudamire	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	16.1	18.6	-2.55	16.8	24.0	-7.20

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	17.8	16.3	1.48	15.5	21.1	-5.62
J.R. Smith	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.09	10	-4	14	18.5	16.8	1.70	16.5	16.2	0.27
Baron Davis	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	17.2	19.7	-2.54	16.4	16.0	0.37
Lee Nailon	63	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	17.4	17.9	-0.46	15.5	18.9	-3.44
Chris Andersen	47	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	0	6	17.9	17.1	0.83	16.3	16.3	0.07
Dan Dickau	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	2	2	17.4	17.9	-0.53	16.2	16.7	-0.51
Rodney Rogers	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	3	0	17.0	18.2	-1.19	17.6	14.9	2.73
Bostjan Nachbar	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	-2	10	17.5	17.6	-0.05	18.3	15.3	2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.6%
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 79, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%