NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +11.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	2.2 [630]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -18.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.04	14	65%	0.19	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.04	-0.01	-0.05	20	54%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	31%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.02	-0.11	17	57%	0.17	4	-0.08	10	50%	-0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	28	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.06
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	280.0	2.8	100.0	19.4	28.6	3.3	35.5	469.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.3%

LAL +19.1%

POR -2.7%

LAL +7.5%

POR -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.7	15.6	96.7	108.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	18.2	16.4	14.1	15.7
LAL	18.6	14.5	15.6	18.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	13	13	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-16	24	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.4	16.9	-1.52
Zach Randolph	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	4.0	15.8	-11.82	24.0	16.6	7.40
Rick Brunson	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-8	8	4.0	15.8	-11.82	24.0	16.6	7.40
Derek Anderson	47	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-12	16	15.8	15.6	0.21	16.3	17.0	-0.68
Steve Kerr	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.0	15.6	0.37	13.2	17.4	-4.19
Bonzi Wells	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.3	0.51	16.3	17.5	-1.16
Dale Davis	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-4	0	16.3	15.2	1.09	17.6	15.7	1.92
Ruben Patterson	52	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.1	17.4	-1.35
Damon Stoudamire	70	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-2	-4	16.1	14.1	1.98	17.4	14.2	3.15
Scottie Pippen	71	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	15.4	16.7	-1.33	17.2	14.8	2.39
Rasheed Wallace	76	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	6	-20	15.8	14.9	0.98	16.6	16.9	-0.22

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	65	66	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-7	22	16.6	16.9	-0.31	15.8	15.3	0.54
Shaquille O'Neal	79	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-4	16	16.5	18.2	-1.72	15.9	13.6	2.35
Derek Fisher	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	1	6	16.7	16.7	0.02	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Robert Horry	54	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-3	14	16.9	16.3	0.58	16.6	14.5	2.06
Brian Shaw	18	19	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	2	4	15.8	16.9	-1.14	18.0	15.1	2.93
Devean George	40	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	3	2	16.2	17.1	-0.93	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Lindsey Hunter	2	3	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	2	4	21.0	16.6	4.42	26.7	15.3	11.36
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	12	-16	16.8	15.2	1.63	15.0	24.3	-9.32
Mark Madsen	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	8	-8	13.5	16.8	-3.26	12.5	15.8	-3.26
Samaki Walker	25	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.13	-18	26	-44	18.0	16.2	1.79	14.3	16.3	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	94.3%
MEM 123, DEN 133	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.3%