NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	81		Excitement	9.1 [106]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +22.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	4.5 [311]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -26.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	13	46%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	45%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	0.04	-0.22	0.01	21	57%	-0.05	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.28,-0.32,-0.15,0,-0.27	-0.12	-0.13	0.02	16	53%	0.12	7	-0.39	6	67%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.29,-0.33,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.14,0.22	0.22	-0.12	0.35	0.01	26	45%	0.33	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	-0.07	4	56%	0.02	5	-0.05	10	40%	-0.07
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	58%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.07
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	11	46%	-0.10	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	514.1	2.7	28.2	19.6	27.2	2.7	39.4	633.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +52.3%

BOS -11.1%

BOS -15.1%

PHI +25.2%

BOS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.6	91.0	92.2	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		98.2	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	20.4	13.5	19.0	16.5
PHI	16.7	14.9	15.8	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	3	-8	17.2	16.3	0.94	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Erick Strickland	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	17.0	16.3	0.69	14.8	16.0	-1.11
Tony Battie	43	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-1	0	15.7	17.2	-1.59	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Walter McCarty	44	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	4	-10	16.9	16.1	0.82	14.8	16.7	-1.93
Kenny Anderson	66	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-1	0	16.8	15.6	1.22	16.2	14.1	2.05
Eric Williams	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-2	2	16.1	17.5	-1.36	15.9	15.2	0.71
Antoine Walker	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-8	14	16.4	16.7	-0.34	15.9	15.1	0.77
Rodney Rogers	49	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	0	-2	16.7	16.2	0.49	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Paul Pierce	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	16.3	17.0	-0.68	15.9	15.0	0.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	30	30	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.58	5	-3	8	15.4	15.9	-0.52	16.6	16.4	0.14
Derrick Coleman	77	74	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.52	7	-5	12	15.1	19.6	-4.56	16.9	14.1	2.81
Eric Snow	64	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Allen Iverson	79	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	15.3	18.4	-3.02	16.5	16.5	-0.08
Aaron McKie	58	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	-2	6	15.3	16.5	-1.27	17.1	15.4	1.66
Derrick McKey	23	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	2	-2	15.5	15.8	-0.31	16.6	16.4	0.19
Matt Harpring	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	5	-8	17.2	14.7	2.52	15.0	17.5	-2.47
Speedy Claxton	11	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	5	-8	17.3	15.5	1.78	16.9	16.4	0.51
Dikembe Mutombo	72	73	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.18	-9	11	-20	16.5	12.4	4.15	16.2	17.9	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.42,1	91.8%
PHX 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,1	91.1%
PHX 99, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%