NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	3.7 [1050]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +13.5%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.1 [893]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -14.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	81%	0.12	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.03	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.01	19	75%	0.20	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	16	49%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	11	44%	-0.01	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	525.2	3.3	27.0	19.0	33.3	3.4	34.3	645.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.1%

TOR +10.4%

TOR +3.0%

TOR +22.4%

DET -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.6	96.6	109.3	102.3
season	15.7	16.2		101.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	16.8	14.5	14.0	15.8
TOR	16.1	17.5	17.4	19.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	1.0	16.0	-14.98	25.0	17.4	7.59
Zeljko Rebraca	28	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	16.1	15.7	0.39	17.6	17.5	0.13
Corliss Williamson	52	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-17	24	15.2	16.7	-1.43	17.7	17.2	0.51
Damon Jones	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-10	10	15.7	15.9	-0.22	19.2	16.7	2.54
Jon Barry	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-12	14	15.2	16.3	-1.09	18.9	16.4	2.59
Michael Curry	21	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	6	-22	18.2	15.0	3.21	15.6	18.1	-2.50
Chucky Atkins	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	15.9	15.7	0.22	16.7	19.2	-2.54
Clifford Robinson	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.06	17.6	16.1	1.52
Jerry Stackhouse	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	5	-20	15.7	15.9	-0.19	16.9	18.7	-1.80
Ben Wallace	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	7	-24	16.0	15.1	0.94	17.3	18.2	-0.84

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	60	60	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.06	21	-11	32	16.5	19.7	-3.20	16.2	14.9	1.38
Antonio Davis	77	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	17.4	18.8	-1.43	15.4	19.4	-3.93
Keon Clark	66	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	2	6	17.5	17.4	0.07	16.2	14.3	1.90
Chris Childs	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	17.7	17.0	0.72	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Alvin Williams	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	17.8	15.9	1.96	16.1	14.4	1.70
Jerome Williams	55	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	16	-22	17.6	17.4	0.23	15.3	16.8	-1.57
Hakeem Olajuwon	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	17.6	17.4	0.16	15.8	15.8	0.01
Dell Curry	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	20.7	17.3	3.40	20.1	15.4	4.72
Jermaine Jackson	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	25.0	17.4	7.59	0.0	15.8	-15.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	95.8%
OKC 111, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
HOU 101, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	95.6%