NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.6 [469]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +6.5%
Indiana Pacers	87		Comeback	1.8 [373]		LVP	George Lynch (PHI): -20.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	28	46%	-0.07	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.03
George Lynch	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	9	50%	-0.14	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.17

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.31,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.04	-0.01	25	60%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	3	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	21	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	11	46%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	35.2	18.4	26.6	2.4	42.3	152.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.0%

IND -1.5%

PHI +28.0%

IND -3.0%

PHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.5	102.2	96.7	100.9
season	15.7	15.9		101.4	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	12.8	15.0	17.9	15.6
IND	15.6	17.2	16.3	16.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	69	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.13	17	-12	29	15.1	17.0	-1.87	16.6	16.0	0.63
Allen Iverson	90	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.6	0.0	15.57	16.6	0.0	16.62
Dikembe Mutombo	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	16.3	12.0	4.28	16.5	16.0	0.52
Eric Snow	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.50	-8	13	-21	16.3	14.0	2.36	16.6	16.0	0.64
Jumaine Jones	24	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	-9	23	13.0	16.5	-3.50	16.8	16.3	0.49
George Lynch	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.34	-4	9	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.60	15.6	18.0	-2.43
Matt Geiger	8	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-2	9	13.1	15.8	-2.68	19.6	16.1	3.47
Tyrone Hill	62	61	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	8	-11	16.3	13.9	2.48	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Kevin Ollie	5	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	10	-15	10.8	15.8	-5.05	9.5	16.8	-7.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	71	70	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-7	9	17.1	13.9	3.15	17.3	9.4	7.86
Jeff Foster	44	44	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-9	13	15.4	17.4	-2.05	16.2	14.9	1.34
Tyus Edney	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	14.2	16.6	-2.43	8.7	16.1	-7.43
Derrick McKey	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-11	17	15.1	17.1	-2.00	16.1	15.3	0.84
Jalen Rose	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	16.5	15.0	1.52	15.4	17.8	-2.36
Austin Croshere	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	16.0	17.4	-1.45	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Reggie Miller	86	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.9	27.2	-11.32	15.8	8.0	7.83
Jermaine O'Neal	45	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	8	-21	17.8	15.0	2.78	15.7	15.5	0.23
Al Harrington	22	22	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.27	-17	12	-29	18.9	15.6	3.28	11.3	17.0	-5.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.57,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.32,0.08,0	92.7%
CLE 106, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.42,0	92.2%
SEA 107, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.28,0	91.7%