NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	8.2 [127]		MVP	Don MacLean (SEA): +31.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	2.3 [326]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -20.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don MacLean	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.34,0.31	-0.04	0.30	-0.05	16	65%	0.46	7	-0.15	8	62%	-0.04
Detlef Schrempf	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.14	0.08	0.03	10	87%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.06
Jelani McCoy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	87%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
John Crotty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	13	53%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.18
Gary Payton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.01	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	7	40%	-0.03	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	0.00	0.25	-0.01	14	43%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.17	-0.04	0.05	17	79%	0.22	2	-0.14	4	50%	-0.09
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	17	51%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.14	0.02	17	50%	-0.14	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	12	33%	-0.13	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	30.4	15.7	22.2	1.7	33.1	127.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.6%

SEA +13.4%

SEA +26.0%

LAC -27.2%

LAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	13.0	15.3	15.8	104.9	102.9	99.6
season	15.4	16.7		102.4	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.9		107.0	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.7	11.3	12.2	13.6	13.0
LAC	13.6	14.8	19.1	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	58	58	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-10	22	11.3	15.1	-3.72	15.9	14.4	1.50
Vin Baker	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.42	4	-2	6	12.7	14.1	-1.43	15.6	14.1	1.41
Detlef Schrempf	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	2	-2	13.9	11.4	2.48	15.7	14.7	0.96
Don MacLean	58	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	1	0	12.6	13.5	-0.93	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Gary Payton	73	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	9	-16	13.6	11.4	2.15	15.0	16.0	-1.02
John Crotty	29	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-7	16	11.4	13.6	-2.15	16.0	15.0	1.02
Jelani McCoy	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-5	12	12.3	13.5	-1.13	15.4	15.2	0.27
Rashard Lewis	37	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	7	-12	13.5	12.6	0.84	13.8	16.1	-2.33
Vladimir Stepania	62	64	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	13	-24	14.4	10.7	3.66	14.9	15.9	-0.93

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	43	40	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.25	9	-11	20	13.6	16.5	-2.98	12.6	13.1	-0.50
Lorenzen Wright	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	17.3	15.0	2.32	12.5	13.0	-0.52
Tyrone Nesby	90	90	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.51	11	-13	24	14.9	17.8	-2.89	13.5	8.8	4.67
Eric Piatkowski	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	15.3	15.3	0.03	13.2	12.7	0.46
Maurice Taylor	81	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.5	14.5	0.96	13.5	10.6	2.86
Rodney Rogers	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	8	-18	15.8	15.1	0.75	10.3	13.8	-3.54
Michael Olowokandi	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	9	-20	16.0	14.4	1.58	13.3	12.5	0.71
Lamond Murray	44	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	4	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.30	12.4	13.4	-1.03
Troy Hudson	101	101	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.4	0.0	15.44	12.8	27.0	-14.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, POR 63	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%
CHI 83, MIL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%
DET 75, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0	91.7%