NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	7.3 [340]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +37.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	78		Comeback	17.8 [40]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -33.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28,0.37	-0.11	0.46	-0.02	21	37%	0.47	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.24,-0.33	-0.06	-0.28	-0.01	22	39%	-0.25	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	19	39%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	17	40%	-0.08	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	18	44%	-0.07	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	31.4	18.7	28.3	2.6	39.3	149.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.0%

PHI -14.8%

IND +2.0%

IND +4.6%

IND +18.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	91.9	88.6	100.9
season	15.9	15.7		99.3	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.6		97.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	14.8	17.1	19.3	16.5
PHI	12.7	16.5	18.9	19.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	82	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	16.5	17.2	-0.76	17.2	6.6	10.58
Reggie Miller	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.47	3	-2	5	16.4	18.5	-2.12	16.1	21.6	-5.42
Jalen Rose	76	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	16.8	14.2	2.63	17.0	12.6	4.48
Austin Croshere	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	-1	3	16.2	17.4	-1.13	16.9	15.5	1.39
Travis Best	77	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	-4	9	17.0	12.2	4.80	17.0	12.3	4.66
Derrick McKey	1	0	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	1	-1	9.0	16.6	-7.61	0.0	16.6	-16.58
Zan Tabak	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	5	-9	19.3	16.3	3.01	9.3	17.2	-7.92
Al Harrington	17	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	6	-11	16.2	16.6	-0.36	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Sam Perkins	25	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	6	-11	15.1	17.1	-2.03	15.2	17.1	-1.89

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	64	63	0.51	-1.01	1.52	0.42	3	-4	7	16.8	16.0	0.74	16.9	15.6	1.31
Kevin Ollie	16	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.10	1	-2	3	13.2	17.3	-4.15	15.3	16.8	-1.53
Raja Bell	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	2.0	16.7	-14.75	1.0	16.7	-15.71
Jumaine Jones	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-1	1	18.8	16.3	2.45	12.4	16.9	-4.57
Dikembe Mutombo	74	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-4	7	16.7	16.1	0.52	15.7	20.5	-4.75
Matt Geiger	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-1	1	15.5	16.9	-1.40	18.2	16.0	2.18
Eric Snow	74	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	16.7	15.9	0.77	16.8	15.0	1.85
Allen Iverson	79	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	0	-1	16.6	16.4	0.15	16.2	18.5	-2.21
Aaron McKie	63	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.58	-4	3	-7	17.0	15.6	1.31	16.5	16.5	-0.03
George Lynch	40	39	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.62	-9	8	-17	17.0	16.2	0.82	18.3	15.1	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.62,0.31,0.43,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	90.7%
BOS 100, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.69,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.36,0.43,0.73,0	90.4%
MIL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.35,0.72,0	90.2%