NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	8.3 [203]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +39.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	4.2 [336]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -29.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	22	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.06
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	20	59%	0.05	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.11
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	18	50%	0.00	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.39	0.39	0.16	0.25	0.02	12	81%	0.39	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	7	100%	0.19	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.09
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	10	37%	-0.17	1	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.06	-0.01	11	25%	-0.09	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.25	0.00	14	44%	-0.27	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	30.1	14.7	27.3	2.2	37.5	136.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +19.8%

MIL +19.0%

MIL +1.9%

MIL +5.0%

MIL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	13.8	15.2	103.1	104.2	101.7
season	14.9	14.1		105.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	15.7	16.0	17.0	15.9
CLE	14.5	14.3	14.0	12.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	86	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-5	11	15.8	16.7	-0.88	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Sam Cassell	78	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-8	17	16.0	15.3	0.69	13.6	14.4	-0.72
Ray Allen	94	91	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	16.0	14.0	1.98	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Darvin Ham	50	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-8	17	16.1	15.7	0.41	14.7	12.7	2.05
Ervin Johnson	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	-2	5	16.7	14.4	2.30	14.1	13.2	0.83
Tim Thomas	60	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	0	1	15.0	17.4	-2.40	13.2	14.5	-1.29
Scott Williams	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	7	-13	14.0	16.2	-2.19	13.7	13.8	-0.02
Danny Manning	13	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	9	-17	15.5	16.0	-0.41	14.8	13.6	1.21
Rafer Alston	34	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	11	-21	16.3	15.7	0.61	12.9	14.2	-1.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	25	25	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-3	5	14.2	13.6	0.63	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Andrew DeClercq	55	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-3	5	14.4	12.9	1.56	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Brevin Knight	58	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-11	21	12.6	15.6	-3.08	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Cedric Henderson	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.22	2	-3	5	13.4	14.1	-0.67	16.7	15.2	1.51
Bob Sura	60	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.51	7	-8	15	12.3	16.3	-4.01	16.8	14.2	2.64
Lamond Murray	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	8	-17	15.1	12.7	2.44	15.3	16.4	-1.05
Wesley Person	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	3	-7	13.9	13.6	0.33	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Andre Miller	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	10	-21	15.6	12.6	3.08	15.9	15.9	0.04
Danny Ferry	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	0	-1	14.1	13.3	0.83	14.8	17.3	-2.46
Shawn Kemp	36	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	13.0	14.2	-1.19	17.5	14.8	2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.22,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	93.3%
LAL 100, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.01,0	92.8%
LAC 98, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.05,0,0,0,0	92.7%