NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): +17.3%
Vancouver Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.0 [309]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -25.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09	0.16	-0.03	0.04	20	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	82%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.13,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	14	25%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	12	33%	-0.14	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	18	66%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.06	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	14	52%	0.07	5	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	57%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.4	27.5	15.5	26.4	2.6	42.6	138.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +75.9%

POR -6.5%

POR -14.4%

POR -12.6%

VAN +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	VAN	NBA	POR	VAN	NBA
this game	18.0	16.1	15.2	103.6	104.7	101.7
season	15.9	15.9		105.9	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.9	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.2	18.0	17.7	17.3	18.0
VAN	13.8	16.3	14.3	20.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-2	2	17.4	18.3	-0.89	14.7	16.7	-1.93
Detlef Schrempf	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-8	14	15.6	20.4	-4.79	16.8	15.4	1.35
Greg Anthony	35	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	2	-6	16.1	19.4	-3.29	17.3	15.4	1.89
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	18.0	18.0	-0.04	17.5	15.8	1.68
Bonzi Wells	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-3	4	19.0	17.2	1.79	17.6	14.6	3.00
Steven Smith	55	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-8	14	17.2	19.6	-2.32	16.7	14.7	2.01
Brian Grant	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	6	-14	20.4	16.2	4.24	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Damon Stoudamire	49	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	19.4	16.1	3.29	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Scottie Pippen	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	4	-10	18.7	17.2	1.47	14.4	18.3	-3.90
Rasheed Wallace	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	18.1	17.4	0.73	15.8	18.6	-2.83

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-8	18	15.7	18.0	-2.32	18.6	14.8	3.86
Othella Harrington	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	-1	4	16.1	16.1	-0.02	18.2	17.3	0.86
Michael Dickerson	81	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.46	-1	3	-4	16.0	17.0	-0.99	17.9	21.5	-3.64
Mike Bibby	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	0	2	15.9	17.6	-1.73	17.9	19.9	-1.99
Bryant Reeves	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	-8	18	14.1	17.4	-3.26	19.0	17.4	1.62
Dennis Scott	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.42	-9	11	-20	17.4	14.8	2.67	15.9	20.1	-4.17
Milt Palacio	8	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	2	-2	17.6	15.9	1.73	19.9	17.9	1.99
Felipe Lopez	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	5	-8	18.4	15.3	3.08	18.3	18.0	0.35
Obinna Ekezie	20	21	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	4	-6	15.7	16.2	-0.47	18.5	17.9	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.83,1	94.9%
SEA 86, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,1	94.6%
DET 99, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.4%