NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	5.5 [710]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +14.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.1 [387]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -18.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	17	54%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	7	86%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	18	53%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	15	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	15	57%	0.01	8	-0.20	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.9	14.8	24.8	1.8	36.2	132.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.6%

NYK +17.2%

NYK +0.1%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	16.9	15.2	109.4	106.0	101.7
season	16.1	15.9		100.0	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		99.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	16.2	16.8	19.7	17.1
POR	16.7	16.5	18.4	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	42	42	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-6	16	17.9	16.4	1.46	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Allan Houston	76	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	17.7	12.6	5.13	16.7	19.2	-2.56
Latrell Sprewell	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	-2	8	16.3	21.9	-5.65	17.3	14.8	2.48
Kurt Thomas	33	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-6	16	18.5	16.3	2.15	16.7	17.1	-0.39
Larry Johnson	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	0	4	16.9	17.8	-0.91	16.9	17.0	-0.14
Patrick Ewing	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	7	-10	17.2	17.0	0.18	16.5	18.6	-2.07
Marcus Camby	27	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	9	-14	17.4	17.0	0.34	18.6	16.2	2.42
Charlie Ward	44	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	10	-16	16.1	18.3	-2.22	17.2	16.7	0.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-6	8	16.8	17.3	-0.59	16.3	19.0	-2.67
Greg Anthony	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	16.9	16.9	0.01	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Brian Grant	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-13	22	16.1	17.7	-1.60	18.1	16.2	1.98
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	16.7	20.0	-3.25	17.5	12.0	5.46
Jermaine O'Neal	32	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	8	-20	19.3	15.5	3.78	16.7	17.4	-0.78
Detlef Schrempf	27	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	5	-14	16.3	17.2	-0.95	17.6	16.9	0.68
Damon Stoudamire	64	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-4	4	16.9	16.9	-0.01	17.2	16.9	0.32
Scottie Pippen	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	0	-4	16.7	18.1	-1.39	16.6	19.2	-2.57
Bonzi Wells	31	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	17.6	16.6	1.01	17.8	16.8	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	94.8%
UTA 93, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	93.8%
MIA 90, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	93.8%