NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	8.3 [215]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +23.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.2 [803]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -21.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.07	-0.03	11	41%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	57%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	44%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.02	18	47%	-0.14	1	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.06	0.13	31	50%	-0.18	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.01	21	68%	0.32	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.05
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.02	-0.03	10	43%	0.04	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.03
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	16	57%	-0.04	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	11	27%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	31.3	18.6	31.0	2.8	46.2	1.8	20.8	178.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +52.8%

TOR -24.2%

MIN +18.3%

TOR -5.3%

MIN +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.0	15.2	99.0	103.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.1		101.8	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	17.9	16.9	16.3	15.8	12.6	16.2
MIN	15.6	14.4	17.2	15.5	10.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	51	51	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.16	5	-10	15	16.1	16.2	-0.08	15.9	14.1	1.76
Muggsy Bogues	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	17.7	15.6	2.11	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Kevin Willis	22	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-7	9	18.1	15.6	2.50	16.7	14.5	2.29
Dell Curry	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	1	-7	18.5	15.5	3.03	16.6	14.5	2.02
Antonio Davis	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	1	-7	16.6	14.3	2.31	15.6	12.5	3.11
Vince Carter	86	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-6	7	15.9	17.8	-1.94	14.7	17.0	-2.34
Charles Oakley	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	16.1	16.3	-0.15	15.0	15.0	0.00
Dee Brown	49	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	2	-9	14.8	17.5	-2.70	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Tracy McGrady	93	94	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	3	-11	15.9	19.3	-3.46	14.6	19.4	-4.75

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	68	68	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-9	23	14.1	16.9	-2.82	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Terrell Brandon	88	88	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-7	19	14.8	16.1	-1.32	15.8	18.7	-2.94
Kevin Garnett	87	88	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	14.4	18.2	-3.75	16.6	13.7	2.85
Joe Smith	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	14.3	16.7	-2.46	15.5	17.7	-2.20
Sam Mitchell	21	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Dean Garrett	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	17.4	14.3	3.16	17.5	15.8	1.73
Rasho Nesterovic	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	17.2	14.6	2.58	15.6	16.3	-0.62
Anthony Peeler	56	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	8	-11	15.4	14.5	0.95	16.2	16.2	0.04
Bobby Jackson	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	12	-19	16.1	14.8	1.32	17.6	15.9	1.67
Wally Szczerbiak	53	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	16	-27	16.7	13.1	3.61	17.4	14.9	2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.95,0.85,0.54,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.98,1	90.9%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	90.5%
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	89.9%