inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 112 Excitement8.3 [199] MVPChris Gatling (DEN): +56.8%
New Jersey Nets 110 Comeback262.2 [1] LVPStephon Marbury (NJN): -23.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Gatling0.570,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.570.040.52-0.011459%0.591-0.026100%0.04
James Posey0.250,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.37,0.37,0.250.130.11-0.001381%0.282-0.0300%0.00
Popeye Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Herren-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.030.05-0.030.052164%0.105-0.122100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01540%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.07-0.031852%-0.002-0.056100%0.03
Keon Clark-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.0110%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
George McCloud-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.130.02-0.140.021262%-0.103-0.0300%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.310.310.080.240.011065%0.3100.0000%0.00
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.100.14-0.001175%0.261-0.012100%0.01
Evan Eschmeyer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00669%0.0600.001100%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.011553%0.021-0.01875%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00357%0.0100.001100%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.01833%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.050.021257%0.021-0.081191%0.05
Jamie Feick0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.080.00357%-0.0700.0010%-0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.24-0.24-0.10-0.17-0.031641%-0.192-0.05786%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.531.415.422.62.533.6132.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +45.7%
NJN -12.2%
DEN +30.7%
NJN -16.4%
DEN +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNJNNBADENNJNNBA
this game15.215.115.2119.1114.6101.7
season14.815.5101.5102.1
opponent14.715.0103.3103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.313.817.217.015.2
NJN13.916.214.116.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey71731.10-0.601.690.2529-275614.218.5-4.3215.613.42.25
Chris Gatling59601.03-0.531.560.4420-183814.516.5-2.0316.213.32.83
Raef LaFrentz86870.66-0.160.820.3112-102215.017.5-2.5014.620.1-5.52
George McCloud88890.60-0.100.700.3110-81814.821.8-7.0714.918.0-3.12
Nick Van Exel89910.470.030.450.4511015.68.86.7715.116.0-0.95
Popeye Jones33-0.010.51-0.53-0.0102-215.715.20.474.715.4-10.77
Chris Herren1213-0.270.77-1.030.20-1618-3416.415.01.3816.015.01.04
Ryan Bowen1414-0.320.82-1.13-0.02-1012-2219.914.45.4615.715.00.71
Antonio McDyess3031-0.370.87-1.240.10-1618-3415.115.2-0.1214.215.5-1.30
Keon Clark1819-0.400.90-1.290.19-2022-4218.914.34.6215.415.00.33

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendall Gill42410.26-0.761.010.115-71215.015.2-0.1415.814.81.05
Elliot Perry18170.14-0.640.79-0.036-81415.115.10.0114.915.3-0.33
Lucious Harris35350.03-0.530.560.06-1-1015.015.1-0.1214.515.6-1.11
Evan Eschmeyer35340.01-0.510.520.10-31-414.815.3-0.4814.715.5-0.75
Scott Burrell3635-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-2214.615.4-0.8313.916.0-2.07
Jamie Feick5553-0.24-0.260.02-0.364-61015.514.60.9116.413.72.71
Kerry Kittles6159-0.530.03-0.56-0.50-1-1015.115.00.1215.614.51.11
Keith Van Horn6666-0.640.14-0.78-0.49-53-815.214.80.3915.215.2-0.05
Stephon Marbury7877-0.640.14-0.79-0.41-86-1415.115.1-0.0115.314.90.33
Johnny Newman5453-0.760.26-1.01-0.55-75-1215.215.00.1414.815.8-1.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.57,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 97, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.42,089.6%
HOU 115, PHX 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.54,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.78,0.59,089.4%
DAL 81, MEM 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,089.2%