NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	9.1 [126]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +35.2%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	11.0 [139]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -22.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.07,0,-0.11,0.35	0.04	0.32	0.00	12	62%	0.43	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.07
James Harden	0.32	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.32,0.32	0.01	0.29	-0.02	15	59%	0.43	4	-0.11	9	100%	0.10
Donatas Motiejunas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	4	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Chandler Parsons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.10	0.00	12	81%	0.26	4	-0.24	7	71%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3	0.30	0.07	0.24	0.02	11	68%	0.39	3	-0.09	9	78%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.22	-0.03	0.01	20	78%	0.30	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	10	45%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,-0.06,-0.2	-0.20	0.00	-0.22	-0.01	18	53%	-0.12	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	11	27%	-0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.4	33.9	17.5	26.5	2.8	45.1	154.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.0%

HOU +37.9%

HOU +6.7%

PHX -26.4%

PHX -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	15.1	111.7	108.7	105.2
season	14.3	14.7		109.5	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		105.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	16.0	14.0	12.3	14.0
PHX	14.3	12.8	12.7	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	87	89	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.37	14	-11	25	13.8	15.6	-1.87	14.6	9.8	4.78
Dwight Howard	73	76	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-9	21	13.6	15.1	-1.44	14.4	12.5	1.89
Donatas Motiejunas	49	49	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-6	15	13.6	14.5	-0.87	14.7	13.2	1.49
Chandler Parsons	84	85	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	14.0	14.2	-0.13	14.1	13.1	1.04
Patrick Beverley	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	5	-7	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Jeremy Lin	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	4	-5	14.5	13.7	0.79	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Terrence Jones	54	54	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	9	-15	14.5	13.6	0.87	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Omri Casspi	23	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	9	-15	14.0	14.1	-0.06	11.9	14.4	-2.52
Omer Asik	30	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	12	-21	15.1	13.6	1.44	12.5	14.4	-1.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	55	54	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.10	6	-9	15	12.9	15.1	-2.27	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Marcus Morris	41	42	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-10	17	13.3	14.3	-1.03	15.1	13.3	1.77
Ish Smith	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.2	13.2	2.03
Alex Len	2	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	13.0	13.9	-0.93	15.3	14.0	1.32
Gerald Green	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	1	-5	13.9	14.0	-0.08	13.3	15.8	-2.42
Markieff Morris	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-4	5	14.2	13.2	0.98	14.5	13.0	1.51
Goran Dragic	91	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	-1	-1	13.9	14.2	-0.29	14.1	14.0	0.06
PJ Tucker	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	7	-17	14.3	13.3	1.03	13.3	15.1	-1.77
Channing Frye	77	75	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.45	-10	7	-17	14.4	12.4	1.99	13.6	15.2	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.54,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.78,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 81, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,0	90.6%
DEN 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	90.1%
DEN 112, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.57,0	89.4%