NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	4.3 [935]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +6.1%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.6 [1045]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	63%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	60%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	23	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.08	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	19	64%	0.14	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.6	27.2	17.3	23.8	1.8	29.5	126.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.3%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +5.2%

ATL -7.1%

NYK +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	15.2	93.3	105.6	101.7
season	15.4	16.1		99.3	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		98.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	18.1	16.4	16.4	17.0
NYK	18.1	14.0	14.3	14.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	24	23	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-13	14	17.4	16.8	0.56	14.5	15.5	-0.94
LaPhonso Ellis	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-15	18	17.1	16.8	0.29	15.1	15.3	-0.29
Dion Glover	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-11	10	17.4	16.6	0.74	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Cal Bowdler	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-8	4	16.9	17.0	-0.13	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Lorenzen Wright	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-8	4	17.2	16.7	0.56	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Bimbo Coles	22	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-5	-2	18.5	16.5	1.98	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Jason Terry	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-7	2	16.5	18.5	-1.98	15.6	14.2	1.38
Dikembe Mutombo	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	16.7	17.2	-0.56	16.0	14.4	1.61
Roshown McLeod	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	-5	-2	16.9	17.1	-0.24	16.1	14.1	1.98
Alan Henderson	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	16.5	17.6	-1.10	15.5	14.9	0.63
Jim Jackson	53	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	5	-22	16.9	17.0	-0.06	15.4	15.0	0.37

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-5	22	15.4	14.5	0.91	16.8	17.6	-0.82
Patrick Ewing	61	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-7	26	15.4	14.9	0.43	17.7	15.1	2.67
Allan Houston	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	2	8	15.1	16.2	-1.09	17.1	15.9	1.21
Larry Johnson	60	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	10	-8	16.0	13.7	2.33	16.3	18.3	-2.03
Marcus Camby	50	51	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	5	2	14.9	15.6	-0.72	17.6	16.1	1.46
Kurt Thomas	37	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	17	-22	14.4	15.8	-1.43	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Chris Childs	39	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	12	-12	15.5	15.0	0.47	17.3	16.7	0.65
Chris Dudley	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	12.2	15.4	-3.11	10.3	17.2	-6.86
Rick Brunson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	12.2	15.4	-3.11	10.3	17.2	-6.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 103, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 83, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%