inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 91 Excitement3.1 [935] MVPRudy Gay (MEM): +15.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 103 Comeback1.8 [814] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (NOH): -16.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.140.000.08494%0.071-0.00989%0.00
Jerome Dyson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.150.000.08780%0.093-0.031687%0.02
Jason Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02875%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0100.002100%0.00
Lance Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darryl Watkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03233%-0.002-0.032100%0.00
Xavier Henry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.07330%-0.015-0.06425%-0.01
Greivis Vasquez-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.02-0.06947%0.027-0.111100%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.160,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.050.01631%-0.063-0.11475%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.180.010.041479%0.181-0.035100%0.03
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.010.051180%0.111-0.02367%-0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.013100%0.0700.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.031454%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01956%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01550%0.011-0.002100%0.01
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Selby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.02267%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Jeremy Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03727%-0.0310.0010%-0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.430.615.627.11.734.3135.0
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +22.4%
NOH -1.1%
NOH -0.4%
MEM +25.3%
MEM +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMEMNBANOHMEMNBA
this game16.816.315.6105.8117.0102.8
season16.315.699.2102.0
opponent15.715.7100.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.818.018.015.616.8
MEM17.716.316.315.116.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Dyson48490.14-0.640.78-0.2413-253816.017.8-1.8416.416.30.11
Carl Landry39400.05-0.550.60-0.074-162017.216.40.7616.116.5-0.45
Gustavo Ayon2526-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-8416.916.70.1813.517.5-4.05
Lance Thomas2727-0.23-0.270.03-0.20-1-111015.417.4-2.0717.615.71.89
Xavier Henry4545-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-4-8416.117.5-1.4316.316.30.03
Darryl Watkins5050-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-5-216.717.0-0.3116.116.6-0.41
Al-Farouq Aminu5558-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-9616.916.60.2816.815.51.29
Jason Smith3132-0.43-0.07-0.360.04-164-2017.616.31.2918.315.23.08
Marco Belinelli6466-0.43-0.07-0.370.06-175-2217.315.41.9216.017.3-1.33
Greivis Vasquez4647-0.620.12-0.740.12-2513-3817.516.01.5316.116.6-0.55

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay53530.61-0.110.72-0.1827-154217.214.92.2816.916.60.25
Mike Conley54530.54-0.040.57-0.2627-154217.115.12.0016.816.80.00
Marc Gasol39390.51-0.010.52-0.2225-133817.915.12.8417.816.01.79
Zach Randolph39410.480.020.47-0.2224-123617.315.51.7817.815.91.84
Tony Allen31320.430.070.370.0214-21618.415.23.1417.616.31.23
Hamed Haddadi32300.100.40-0.310.18-315-1813.717.8-4.0816.317.0-0.70
O.J. Mayo61590.080.42-0.330.17-315-1815.218.9-3.7616.717.0-0.36
Dante Cunningham38350.040.46-0.410.34-1022-3214.417.8-3.3916.417.0-0.61
Josh Selby220.000.50-0.500.12-416-2016.516.30.193.517.1-13.61
Jeremy Pargo3029-0.040.54-0.570.23-921-3014.917.0-2.1017.416.50.94
Quincy Pondexter3330-0.120.62-0.750.34-1628-4415.117.1-2.0116.317.1-0.75
Marreese Speights2827-0.130.63-0.770.22-1224-3618.315.42.9414.917.7-2.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 78, IND 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
DET 87, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
SAS 72, NOH 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%