NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	4.7 [865]		MVP	Don Reid (WAS): +10.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	2.2 [705]		LVP	Keith Closs (LAC): -12.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mitch Richmond	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	15	66%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	79%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	18	51%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gerard King	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	117%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	58%	0.01	6	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	26.4	15.4	26.4	2.3	32.6	127.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.3%

WAS +5.0%

WAS +4.2%

WAS +11.7%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.2	109.4	95.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.6		101.1	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.8		107.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	12.2	16.3	16.9	14.5
LAC	14.7	16.0	14.3	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	52	53	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.10	27	-15	42	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.5	15.2	0.35
Tracy Murray	55	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.03	24	-12	36	14.8	14.1	0.64	15.4	15.2	0.17
Aaron Williams	53	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.05	24	-12	36	14.3	14.7	-0.33	15.5	15.2	0.30
Chris Whitney	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-8	28	14.7	14.0	0.71	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Don Reid	41	44	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-2	16	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.7	15.0	0.69
Jahidi White	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	16	-20	14.1	14.8	-0.70	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Laron Profit	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	18.0	14.3	3.66	15.7	15.3	0.33
Juwan Howard	62	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	20	-28	15.2	13.1	2.08	15.4	15.3	0.09
Rod Strickland	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	20	-28	14.0	14.7	-0.71	15.7	15.2	0.48
Mitch Richmond	40	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.22	-14	26	-40	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Gerard King	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.20	-14	26	-40	14.3	14.6	-0.33	15.2	15.4	-0.23

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	59	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-7	2	15.3	15.4	-0.03	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Charles R. Jones	22	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-15	18	13.7	15.8	-2.10	16.4	13.9	2.56
Tyrone Nesby	81	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-8	4	15.5	14.8	0.64	15.0	12.0	2.99
Keith Closs	45	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-8	4	15.4	15.3	0.13	15.8	13.5	2.31
Jeff McInnis	41	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-7	2	14.7	15.8	-1.16	14.5	14.5	0.08
Pete Chilcutt	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	15.1	15.5	-0.43	15.7	13.9	1.75
Maurice Taylor	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-1	-10	15.4	15.2	0.29	13.3	16.9	-3.61
Eric Piatkowski	69	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	3	-18	16.1	13.6	2.45	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Derek Anderson	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	15.4	15.1	0.32	13.9	15.9	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 111, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	94.8%
MEM 107, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.7%