NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	3.6 [1050]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +9.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	1.9 [707]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -11.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	66%	0.11	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	14	75%	0.09	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	14	53%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.01	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	10	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	3	60%	0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lari Ketner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	-0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	11	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	62%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	9	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	26.4	15.3	27.5	2.4	32.5	129.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.0%

UTA +12.8%

CLE -0.5%

UTA +10.5%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.2	113.8	90.5	101.7
season	16.3	14.1		104.5	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.5	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	18.2	14.0	15.9	15.6
CLE	12.6	16.1	17.9	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	43	44	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.28	35	-14	49	14.4	16.6	-2.19	17.1	13.0	4.05
Olden Polynice	37	38	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.05	23	-2	25	14.4	16.4	-2.03	15.7	14.4	1.36
Karl Malone	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.03	22	-1	23	15.3	16.2	-0.85	15.2	14.2	0.94
Bryon Russell	73	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-7	35	14.5	19.5	-5.01	14.9	14.8	0.07
Jeff Hornacek	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	12	-3	15.0	15.9	-0.96	16.9	13.8	3.13
Greg Ostertag	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	13	-5	15.8	15.5	0.30	13.9	15.4	-1.56
Howard Eisley	67	68	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.12	5	16	-11	16.0	14.5	1.55	13.7	17.8	-4.03
Scott Padgett	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	23	-25	21.2	15.2	5.96	15.8	14.8	0.96
Jacque Vaughn	44	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	28	-35	16.5	14.7	1.81	13.0	16.6	-3.60
Quincy Lewis	40	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	26	-31	16.6	14.8	1.85	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Adam Keefe	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	26	-31	17.4	15.1	2.30	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Armen Gilliam	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	27	-33	18.6	15.3	3.28	16.9	14.7	2.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lari Ketner	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	15.8	14.8	0.96	21.7	15.2	6.50
Ryan Stack	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	15.8	14.8	0.96	23.2	15.2	8.04
Earl Boykins	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-20	19	13.6	15.4	-1.81	15.7	15.6	0.13
Danny Ferry	61	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-19	17	14.7	15.3	-0.58	16.0	14.9	1.16
Bob Sura	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-21	21	15.0	14.8	0.15	16.7	14.2	2.47
Brevin Knight	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-14	7	14.1	15.4	-1.32	16.5	15.0	1.53
Lamond Murray	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-8	-5	15.0	14.8	0.12	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Mark Bryant	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-11	1	15.3	14.2	1.10	16.1	14.9	1.20
Shawn Kemp	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.09	-13	-8	-5	13.6	15.6	-2.05	13.5	16.8	-3.27
Wesley Person	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	14.7	15.2	-0.53	14.3	17.7	-3.39
Andrew DeClercq	32	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	-2	-17	15.8	14.4	1.34	15.0	15.9	-0.85
Andre Miller	60	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.19	-24	3	-27	16.0	13.1	2.91	14.8	16.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DEN 118, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%