NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	3.6 [1056]		MVP	Dean Garrett (MIN): +18.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	73		Comeback	1.6 [900]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -11.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.02	15	74%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	17	51%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	19	53%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	20%	-0.00
James Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	-0.07	6	40%	-0.03	7	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Leckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	21	48%	-0.03	4	-0.05	12	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	8	29%	-0.06	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	24.0	15.0	24.3	2.4	24.4	117.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.9%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +9.0%

MIN +0.6%

MIN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	VAN	NBA	MIN	VAN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.6	93.3	83.9	104.4
season	15.5	16.3		103.3	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.2	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	20.1	14.8	15.3	16.2
VAN	14.6	17.8	18.8	14.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	61	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.12	25	-14	39	15.4	17.8	-2.38	16.9	15.2	1.69
Stephon Marbury	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.08	23	-12	35	16.1	16.4	-0.26	17.4	13.0	4.33
Tom Gugliotta	68	66	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-13	37	15.7	17.7	-2.01	16.4	16.2	0.19
Dean Garrett	78	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	0	11	16.0	17.7	-1.68	16.1	17.8	-1.78
Kevin Garnett	68	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-9	29	16.9	14.2	2.69	17.4	13.0	4.39
James Robinson	19	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.27	-10	21	-31	16.0	16.3	-0.27	13.8	17.0	-3.25
Stojko Vrankovic	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	13	-15	19.5	16.0	3.52	18.1	16.2	1.97
Sam Mitchell	45	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.29	-12	23	-35	16.1	16.3	-0.24	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Chris Carr	15	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	23	-35	19.1	15.6	3.43	14.7	16.7	-1.93
Terry Porter	22	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.26	-12	23	-35	16.4	16.1	0.26	13.0	17.4	-4.33

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	10	10	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-15	19	17.9	16.1	1.77	21.3	15.6	5.72
Aaron Williams	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-20	29	14.0	17.0	-2.96	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Pete Chilcutt	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-19	27	15.5	16.7	-1.20	14.7	16.8	-2.19
Eric Leckner	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-10	9	8.7	16.7	-7.95	9.0	16.6	-7.64
Lee Mayberry	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-8	5	17.3	15.6	1.79	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Blue Edwards	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	17.7	14.4	3.36	16.3	16.1	0.16
Roy Rogers	44	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-2	-7	16.8	15.9	0.89	17.1	15.3	1.78
Bryant Reeves	64	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	6	-23	17.2	13.9	3.35	17.6	12.4	5.17
Lawrence Moten	54	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-3	-5	15.6	17.5	-1.95	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Greg Anthony	58	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	3	-17	15.4	18.3	-2.91	15.8	17.1	-1.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	4	-19	16.1	17.9	-1.77	15.6	21.3	-5.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 114, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
IND 103, DAL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%