inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 106 Excitement9.9 [63] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +32.1%
Washington Wizards 99 Comeback12.2 [97] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -26.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.320,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.320.020.310.021377%0.546-0.22475%0.02
Avery Johnson0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.020.12-0.011262%0.182-0.02580%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.00671%0.072-0.08580%-0.01
Derrick Dial-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.00654%0.042-0.061100%0.01
Jerome Kersey-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00545%0.021-0.041100%0.01
Mario Elie-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00744%0.012-0.0620%-0.04
Jaren Jackson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
David Robinson-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.011851%0.115-0.235100%0.03
Antonio Daniels-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.170.01-0.170.01962%-0.122-0.05367%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.180.180.070.130.022264%0.324-0.141100%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.14-0.010.14-0.011250%0.181-0.04250%-0.03
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.00470%0.081-0.04250%-0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.00542%-0.0500.002100%0.04
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.00440%-0.041-0.042100%0.02
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.110.00646%-0.102-0.0510%-0.02
Gerard King0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.11-0.13-0.011242%-0.064-0.17250%-0.01
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.09-0.20-0.032043%-0.181-0.081182%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.426.715.521.23.040.41.012.9147.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +66.8%
WAS -4.5%
WAS -1.1%
WAS -19.9%
SAS +8.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game15.015.915.2103.995.2101.7
season15.515.5101.6101.1
opponent14.815.4104.495.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS12.813.916.016.916.215.0
WAS17.215.415.316.613.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels57580.82-0.321.140.3217-102715.314.50.7915.716.2-0.43
Derrick Dial35360.77-0.271.040.3016-92514.215.3-1.1414.716.5-1.82
Samaki Walker38360.54-0.040.570.1812-51714.815.0-0.1717.315.22.09
David Robinson92930.410.090.320.2943114.815.9-1.0516.015.30.72
Mario Elie78790.300.200.090.36-29-1114.815.3-0.5015.915.80.15
Tim Duncan73780.060.44-0.370.12-29-1114.815.2-0.4115.417.5-2.12
Avery Johnson82840.040.46-0.43-0.0225-315.612.13.5516.314.41.87
Jaren Jackson1617-0.210.71-0.91-0.09-411-1513.415.2-1.8017.415.61.72
Jerome Kersey3939-0.220.72-0.950.01-815-2315.114.90.2015.416.2-0.76

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy Murray38360.44-0.941.380.59-5-2-315.416.2-0.7315.714.51.15
Jahidi White51500.11-0.610.720.023-101316.914.92.0214.215.7-1.55
Richard Hamilton1314-0.12-0.380.260.05-6-1-516.815.80.9813.015.3-2.26
Juwan Howard9492-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-8915.519.9-4.4115.212.52.72
Rod Strickland7977-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.412-91115.517.1-1.5415.114.40.78
Mitch Richmond9188-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-6515.816.8-0.9815.313.02.26
Gerard King8785-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.410-7715.617.5-1.9314.915.2-0.27
Aaron Williams2930-0.530.03-0.56-0.24-103-1319.314.64.6615.414.80.64
Chris Whitney3838-1.060.56-1.61-0.50-1912-3115.016.5-1.4814.015.5-1.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.11,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.24,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 102, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.17,090.0%
IND 104, HOU 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.06,0.01,087.7%
CHI 114, TOR 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.07,0.15,0.54,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.04,087.5%