NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	7.6 [308]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +29.1%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	3.1 [453]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -12.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	5	107%	0.23	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Tom Gugliotta	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.02	12	70%	0.20	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.07
Clifford Robinson	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	17	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	22	52%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.13	-0.02	21	76%	0.43	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.01	15	65%	0.25	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	41%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	13	45%	0.05	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.7	29.7	18.0	23.1	2.7	35.3	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -17.7%

PHX +35.5%

PHX +9.4%

PHX +21.7%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.2	114.9	107.4	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		101.4	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.5	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	15.4	14.5	16.3	15.1
HOU	14.7	17.4	14.9	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	80	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-6	19	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.4	16.4	-0.91
Jason Kidd	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-5	17	14.9	16.0	-1.09	15.3	17.5	-2.27
Rodney Rogers	62	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-1	9	15.3	14.6	0.65	15.8	15.2	0.58
Tom Gugliotta	77	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	14.9	15.9	-1.08	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Clifford Robinson	72	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	9	-11	15.4	13.9	1.49	16.0	14.3	1.70
Luc Longley	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	-1	9	15.0	15.1	-0.07	17.0	15.2	1.80
Corie Blount	28	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	13.0	15.9	-2.98	13.3	16.4	-3.10
Shawn Marion	32	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	6	-5	15.2	15.0	0.25	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Rex Chapman	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	17.5	14.9	2.61	19.5	15.3	4.18
Randy Livingston	12	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	16.0	14.9	1.09	17.5	15.3	2.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	35	33	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.09	10	-17	27	16.3	15.2	1.16	16.0	14.6	1.41
Moochie Norris	14	12	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-12	17	16.6	15.4	1.16	16.0	14.9	1.09
Bryce Drew	6	6	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-12	17	19.5	15.3	4.18	17.5	14.9	2.61
Walt Williams	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.9	-1.10	14.6	15.3	-0.66
Kelvin Cato	51	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.1	0.82	15.5	14.6	0.95
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.44	14.7	15.4	-0.79
Cuttino Mobley	64	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.3	14.6	0.66
Kenny Thomas	57	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.12	-14	7	-21	15.0	16.5	-1.53	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Steve Francis	88	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.3	19.5	-4.18	14.9	17.5	-2.61
Shandon Anderson	80	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.16	14.9	16.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 108, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.29,0.14,0.08,0	91.9%
POR 111, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.39,0.22,0.23,0,0	91.7%
GSW 106, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.22,0.03,0,0	91.7%