NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	8.5 [172]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +32.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Comeback	2.0 [603]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -28.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33	0.15	0.17	0.00	7	100%	0.33	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
John Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.11,-0.12,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	21	55%	0.10	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.05
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	15	47%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	15	37%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	12	67%	0.10	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.16,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	14	63%	0.07	3	-0.17	7	57%	-0.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.10	-0.03	19	47%	-0.06	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.13
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	15	32%	-0.22	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.2	17.8	29.2	2.6	42.0	146.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.8%

VAN -5.5%

TOR +3.2%

TOR +22.1%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	VAN	NBA	TOR	VAN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.2	104.4	101.1	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		101.8	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	14.8	14.7	15.2	15.5
VAN	16.9	17.2	17.3	14.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	79	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-5	12	16.0	11.6	4.39	17.0	11.6	5.34
Muggsy Bogues	45	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-5	12	14.6	16.4	-1.73	15.2	17.5	-2.38
Charles Oakley	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.55	-2	4	-6	16.0	13.9	2.07	16.7	15.2	1.49
Dell Curry	27	27	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	15.2	15.6	-0.43	14.6	17.1	-2.47
Tracy McGrady	66	69	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	4	-6	15.7	14.9	0.84	16.1	17.0	-0.88
Doug Christie	63	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	10	-18	15.3	16.0	-0.78	17.0	14.8	2.26
Dee Brown	6	6	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	-1	4	17.2	15.4	1.80	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Kevin Willis	29	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	-3	8	14.4	16.0	-1.59	16.3	16.3	-0.01
John Thomas	15	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	7	-12	15.8	15.4	0.37	17.1	16.2	0.88
Antonio Davis	51	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	2	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.54	16.3	16.4	-0.17

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	52	52	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-4	6	16.0	16.8	-0.86	16.3	14.3	1.98
Milt Palacio	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-2	2	9.4	16.7	-7.33	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Obinna Ekezie	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	22.0	16.2	5.80	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Michael Dickerson	78	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-3	4	16.2	16.8	-0.60	15.7	14.5	1.23
Dennis Scott	43	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.56	7	-9	16	16.3	16.4	-0.05	14.9	16.0	-1.10
Doug West	22	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	6	-14	15.6	16.6	-0.91	15.7	15.4	0.36
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	88	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.3	16.0	0.34	15.3	20.0	-4.72
Mike Bibby	86	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	0	-2	16.7	9.4	7.33	15.5	15.2	0.35
Othella Harrington	79	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	5	-12	16.7	13.8	2.88	15.3	17.0	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.65,0.31,0.36,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.73,0.47,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	92.2%
CHA 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.53,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.15,0	92.0%
IND 91, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.14,0.09,0	91.7%