NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	5.7 [678]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +16.3%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	1.3 [1062]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -13.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	9	90%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Sam Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.01	0.07	10	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	7	56%	0.00	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Rik Smits	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	35%	-0.09	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	41%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	5	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	-0.07	14	43%	0.01	6	-0.12	2	0%	-0.05
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	0.07	17	63%	-0.01	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	32.0	14.8	26.2	1.7	29.0	129.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.7%

GSW -2.5%

IND +17.8%

IND +16.7%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	13.8	13.3	15.2	106.5	89.6	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		106.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.1		105.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	14.1	14.7	13.3	13.8
GSW	12.0	12.1	14.7	14.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	52	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	2	15	14.0	13.6	0.44	14.5	12.1	2.36
Derrick McKey	45	43	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	2	15	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.8	12.2	2.61
Sam Perkins	38	38	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	1	17	13.5	13.9	-0.43	15.1	12.2	2.91
Reggie Miller	66	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	8	3	13.7	13.9	-0.25	12.8	14.0	-1.22
Mark Jackson	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	11	-3	14.4	13.3	1.05	13.4	13.1	0.33
Travis Best	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.25	16	3	13	13.0	14.6	-1.66	13.4	13.1	0.31
Rik Smits	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	12	-5	13.7	13.9	-0.15	12.3	14.5	-2.22
Austin Croshere	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	12	-5	12.5	14.5	-1.99	13.6	13.0	0.62
Dale Davis	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	17	-15	14.2	13.4	0.87	12.6	13.9	-1.33
Jalen Rose	70	69	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	25	-31	14.3	12.8	1.56	11.9	15.8	-3.87
Jonathan Bender	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.7	13.7	1.00	12.0	13.3	-1.34
Zan Tabak	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.7	13.7	1.00	12.0	13.3	-1.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Jacobson	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	12.0	13.3	-1.34	14.7	13.7	1.00
Sam Mack	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	13.4	13.3	0.14	15.5	13.7	1.83
Tony Farmer	35	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.15	-7	-12	5	13.5	13.2	0.33	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Adonal Foyle	44	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-17	15	13.2	13.3	-0.06	14.3	13.4	0.89
Larry Hughes	93	94	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-8	-3	13.0	15.5	-2.50	13.8	13.8	0.01
Billy Owens	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-7	-5	13.0	13.5	-0.45	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Vonteego Cummings	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-4	-11	13.4	13.1	0.25	13.5	14.2	-0.65
Donyell Marshall	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	-5	-9	13.5	12.5	1.05	14.1	13.0	1.02
Mookie Blaylock	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.06	-15	-4	-11	13.1	13.6	-0.52	13.6	14.1	-0.56
Jason Caffey	94	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	1	-21	13.5	11.1	2.46	13.8	13.9	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 96, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIA 111, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%