NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	8.1 [235]		MVP	William Avery (MIN): +7.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	1.9 [423]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -29.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	18	54%	0.09	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Todd Fuller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	8	50%	-0.15	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Eddie Jones	-0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31,-0.25	-0.06	-0.18	0.01	13	50%	-0.09	3	-0.16	8	87%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	74%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	12	48%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	22	46%	0.08	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	10	50%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.20	-0.00	6	25%	-0.15	1	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.0	32.0	14.8	25.1	1.6	37.4	137.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -18.4%

CHH +33.4%

CHH +30.1%

CHH +4.7%

CHH +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIN	NBA	CHH	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	15.1	15.2	103.4	97.8	101.7
season	14.9	15.1		101.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.7	15.4	18.8	16.5	17.2
MIN	14.9	14.0	15.5	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	65	66	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-4	13	17.1	17.6	-0.53	15.3	14.6	0.69
Elden Campbell	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-2	9	17.1	17.6	-0.56	15.2	15.0	0.17
Anthony Mason	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	17.6	15.2	2.45	15.5	13.3	2.23
Chucky Brown	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	1	3	16.2	18.2	-1.98	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Eddie Jones	72	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	17.7	15.4	2.25	15.4	13.9	1.45
Eddie Robinson	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	-1	7	16.5	18.2	-1.68	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Todd Fuller	17	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	0	5	15.4	17.7	-2.25	13.9	15.4	-1.45
Dale Ellis	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	22.2	16.6	5.59	17.6	14.8	2.79
Ricky Davis	25	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	7	-9	17.6	17.1	0.56	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Baron Davis	24	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.09	-4	9	-13	17.6	17.1	0.53	14.6	15.3	-0.69

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	19	19	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.16	0	-5	5	15.9	14.9	1.05	18.7	16.8	1.84
Dean Garrett	27	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	15.0	15.2	-0.23	17.2	17.2	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-4	3	15.3	15.0	0.27	18.8	16.4	2.36
Bobby Jackson	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-5	5	21.7	14.9	6.77	11.0	17.5	-6.45
Wally Szczerbiak	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-6	7	15.5	14.1	1.42	18.6	14.0	4.52
Anthony Peeler	50	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	14.6	15.8	-1.29	15.5	19.3	-3.81
Kevin Garnett	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.3	13.3	1.92	17.5	13.2	4.36
Joe Smith	46	45	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	14.5	15.7	-1.20	15.6	18.9	-3.31
Terrell Brandon	67	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	0	-5	14.6	16.7	-2.13	17.1	17.6	-0.53
Malik Sealy	57	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	1	-7	15.4	14.6	0.83	17.3	17.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.02,0	90.8%
NOH 100, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.26,0	90.7%
MIA 82, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.15,0.09,0	90.7%