NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): +21.1%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	2.7 [566]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -32.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	11	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.06
Scottie Pippen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	13	66%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Brian Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	65%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	12	76%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	150%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	7	47%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	14	47%	-0.07	4	-0.15	6	50%	-0.10
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.34,-0.32	-0.32	-0.17	-0.12	0.03	16	37%	-0.18	4	-0.15	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	33.2	16.4	27.4	2.3	38.7	145.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.5%

POR +19.8%

POR +12.7%

POR +4.4%

BOS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.2	114.9	109.3	101.7
season	15.9	14.7		105.9	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.8	18.0	18.7	16.8
BOS	16.2	17.0	16.3	16.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-2	10	16.6	18.8	-2.16	16.5	16.3	0.18
Damon Stoudamire	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-3	12	16.1	19.5	-3.37	15.8	18.9	-3.08
Jermaine O'Neal	22	21	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-3	12	19.1	16.1	3.01	17.2	16.2	0.98
Scottie Pippen	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-1	8	16.3	19.4	-3.18	15.7	19.6	-3.98
Steven Smith	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	16.7	17.1	-0.34	16.0	17.4	-1.39
Brian Grant	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	8	-10	16.6	17.0	-0.40	16.6	16.3	0.30
Bonzi Wells	20	21	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	5	-4	17.6	16.6	1.05	21.0	15.0	6.02
Detlef Schrempf	32	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	8	-10	17.6	16.4	1.14	16.8	16.3	0.48
Greg Anthony	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	9	-12	18.7	16.3	2.41	17.7	16.1	1.69
Arvydas Sabonis	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	6	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.19	15.2	16.9	-1.73

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-8	10	17.9	16.0	1.86	18.4	16.3	2.04
Pervis Ellison	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-5	4	21.7	16.2	5.55	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Doug Overton	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	13.0	16.6	-3.58	11.0	17.1	-6.12
Kenny Anderson	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.12	1	-7	8	15.3	18.9	-3.67	17.3	15.9	1.41
Tony Battie	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-8	10	17.7	15.7	2.01	15.4	17.6	-2.14
Danny Fortson	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	17.4	16.0	1.44	18.4	16.1	2.34
Vitaly Potapenko	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	15.4	17.6	-2.19	17.0	16.6	0.42
Adrian Griffin	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-9	12	16.2	16.9	-0.70	16.3	17.9	-1.62
Paul Pierce	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	16.1	17.8	-1.75	16.9	16.6	0.31
Dana Barros	29	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	1	-8	18.0	15.7	2.28	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Walter McCarty	21	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	5	-16	18.6	15.8	2.80	17.6	16.6	0.97
Antoine Walker	66	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	15.8	18.5	-2.67	16.8	17.0	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, IND 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	93.4%
LAC 117, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.62,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.02,0,0	92.9%
MIN 105, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.8%