NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	86		Excitement	6.5 [518]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +12.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	94		Comeback	1.3 [730]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -22.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.05	0.03	20	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.08
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	53%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	12	36%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	14	27%	-0.20	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	89%	0.18	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	77%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	13	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	19	52%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	20	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.8	2.6	29.2	18.7	23.1	2.7	36.4	157.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +60.3%

PHX -14.5%

SEA +1.5%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.5	15.2	101.2	110.6	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		101.4	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.6	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.0	14.8	15.1	18.3	16.3
SEA	15.0	17.1	21.6	16.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oliver Miller	31	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-9	10	17.6	15.6	2.05	18.2	17.2	1.06
Rex Chapman	28	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.3	16.8	-1.52	17.6	17.5	0.09
Luc Longley	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	2	-12	17.1	16.0	1.07	17.7	17.4	0.31
Rodney Rogers	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-14	20	16.1	17.7	-1.64	17.9	15.4	2.47
Clifford Robinson	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	5	-18	16.4	16.3	0.14	16.0	18.4	-2.38
Jason Kidd	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	16.1	18.3	-2.22	17.8	15.7	2.08
Tom Gugliotta	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	16.6	14.8	1.86	17.7	16.8	0.82

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	76	75	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-10	28	17.5	18.2	-0.76	16.4	15.7	0.73
Brent Barry	69	68	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.35	12	-4	16	16.7	21.2	-4.49	15.9	18.0	-2.07
Gary Payton	80	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-8	24	17.5	18.8	-1.34	16.7	11.2	5.46
Vin Baker	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-1	10	17.3	19.1	-1.77	16.8	12.8	4.01
Jelani McCoy	26	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	17.7	17.5	0.22	18.2	15.5	2.76
Ruben Patterson	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	17.9	17.0	0.93	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Greg Foster	5	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	16	-24	18.8	17.5	1.34	10.3	16.8	-6.46
Rashard Lewis	11	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	16	-24	17.1	17.6	-0.52	12.1	17.0	-4.96
Chuck Person	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.09	-3	11	-14	20.7	17.3	3.46	21.9	15.8	6.01
Emanual Davis	24	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	18	-28	19.2	16.9	2.32	16.0	16.5	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.8%
MIA 91, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.7%
LAC 85, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,1	91.5%