inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement8.0 [208] MVPStephon Marbury (NJN): +26.3%
New Jersey Nets 93 Comeback1.4 [523] LVPBrian Grant (MIA): -41.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.080.040.040.012354%0.162-0.082100%0.01
Duane Causwell0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.01667%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.01764%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Eddie House0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00462%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Todd Fuller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
A.C. Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04-0.03-0.000.011553%0.032-0.07875%-0.00
Anthony Carter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01837%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Brian Grant-0.420,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.42,-0.42-0.26-0.16-0.011431%-0.284-0.131464%-0.08

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.260.260.120.14-0.011770%0.322-0.061080%-0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.210.210.050.16-0.00974%0.272-0.05560%-0.01
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00671%0.1000.00250%-0.02
Sherman Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.04-0.01440%0.053-0.092100%0.03
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00050%-0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.040.01952%-0.032-0.06333%-0.04
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.10-0.001343%-0.103-0.08450%-0.03
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.09-0.01729%-0.103-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.832.119.426.02.838.3144.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +46.9%
NJN +6.7%
MIA -13.4%
NJN +1.5%
NJN +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game17.314.415.5101.1101.1100.9
season16.315.598.497.8
opponent15.116.1103.096.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.617.816.516.317.3
NJN15.014.114.813.814.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Todd Fuller880.05-0.550.59-0.074-61016.717.3-0.5711.214.7-3.46
Jamal Robinson1919-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-2217.617.20.4615.214.21.01
A.C. Green2628-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-3418.516.81.6815.414.01.36
Eddie House1818-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-3418.217.01.1911.315.2-3.90
Duane Causwell3333-0.18-0.320.140.05-86-1418.016.81.2115.313.91.44
Anthony Mason7982-0.24-0.260.01-0.395-71216.820.7-3.9414.414.5-0.10
Anthony Carter4951-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.422-4616.817.8-0.9414.314.5-0.22
Tim Hardaway8183-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.452-4616.920.8-3.9014.414.7-0.28
Bruce Bowen7274-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.38-20-216.918.6-1.6814.115.8-1.70
Brian Grant6564-0.620.12-0.75-0.18-1513-2817.915.72.1415.112.92.19

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Williams44450.72-0.220.930.575-3815.013.91.1717.317.20.04
Stephon Marbury83810.62-0.120.740.359-71614.018.0-3.9817.614.72.89
Evan Eschmeyer51490.60-0.100.690.2113-112415.113.51.6317.517.00.53
Lucious Harris42390.390.110.270.3611014.014.7-0.6716.717.7-0.92
Stephen Jackson82790.360.140.230.48-46-1014.513.60.9116.820.7-3.94
Kendall Gill55560.240.26-0.010.047-51214.214.8-0.5718.115.92.13
Kenyon Martin53540.040.46-0.42-0.115-3813.915.1-1.1118.415.52.94
Kevin Ollie320.020.48-0.450.08-24-62.314.8-12.497.017.5-10.50
Jim McIlvaine88-0.050.55-0.600.07-46-1011.214.7-3.4616.717.3-0.57
Sherman Douglas99-0.120.62-0.740.09-79-1618.014.03.9814.717.6-2.89
Johnny Newman3028-0.320.82-1.140.06-1315-2815.813.72.1115.917.9-1.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 102, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.99,193.3%
PHX 86, SEA 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,1,192.7%
DET 82, ORL 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.9,0.9,192.6%