NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	3.0 [1155]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +11.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.0 [1152]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -12.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	20	49%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Devin Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	-0.11	8	21%	-0.05	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	0.06	12	54%	-0.08	4	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	11	77%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	83%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	19	55%	0.02	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.5	25.2	15.8	21.5	1.7	27.0	114.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.6%

HOU -4.1%

MIN +2.7%

HOU -0.5%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.2	88.5	106.2	101.7
season	15.4	15.1		102.4	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.6		101.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	18.1	15.9	14.6	15.7
MIN	13.1	14.0	14.7	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	41	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.03	-4	-13	9	14.9	16.3	-1.36	15.2	13.7	1.50
Kelvin Cato	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-14	11	15.3	16.7	-1.39	14.5	13.9	0.57
Devin Gray	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-6	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.27	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Walt Williams	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-11	5	15.8	15.5	0.27	14.5	13.9	0.57
Shandon Anderson	51	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-3	-11	15.8	15.6	0.16	14.3	14.3	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-3	-11	15.9	15.6	0.29	13.6	15.0	-1.35
Cuttino Mobley	52	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-6	-5	16.0	15.3	0.68	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Kenny Thomas	37	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	17.2	14.8	2.37	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Bryce Drew	89	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-8	-1	15.5	18.6	-3.09	14.7	8.0	6.71

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	60	63	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	1	15	14.2	14.4	-0.16	15.8	15.5	0.34
Bobby Jackson	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	8	1	13.9	14.8	-0.87	16.2	14.9	1.31
Anthony Peeler	51	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.01	11	6	5	14.3	14.2	0.09	16.9	14.5	2.35
Rasho Nesterovic	57	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	6	5	14.1	14.5	-0.37	16.0	15.2	0.82
Dean Garrett	23	23	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	2	13	13.1	14.7	-1.53	15.8	15.7	0.15
Joe Smith	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	11	-5	14.9	13.9	1.09	16.0	15.5	0.42
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	15	-13	14.7	13.4	1.28	15.6	15.9	-0.25
Malik Sealy	47	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	9	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.57	14.6	16.8	-2.20
William Avery	38	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	9	-1	14.8	13.9	0.87	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Wally Szczerbiak	34	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	18	-19	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Tom Hammonds	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	11.4	14.5	-3.05	9.2	16.0	-6.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIA 86, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%