NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	7.8 [274]		MVP	Scott Burrell (NJN): +31.1%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	28.5 [55]		LVP	Jim McIlvaine (NJN): -21.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.38,0.31	0.08	0.21	-0.02	10	65%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	15	51%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	11	38%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Kendall Gill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	46%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.21	-0.00	-0.21	0.00	6	46%	-0.21	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.16	-0.01	13	43%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.06
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	1	125%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.03	8	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	14	51%	-0.15	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.06
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	9	45%	-0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.1	14.8	24.0	1.7	36.8	131.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.2%

BOS +1.0%

BOS +42.2%

NJN -7.8%

NJN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.2	103.3	108.7	101.7
season	15.5	14.7		102.1	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	14.1	16.8	20.6	16.4
BOS	13.4	15.3	18.4	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	27	27	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-8	11	17.1	16.1	1.04	15.7	14.5	1.20
Kerry Kittles	54	53	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-6	7	15.4	17.9	-2.52	14.9	14.9	0.03
Jamie Feick	42	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-11	17	17.5	15.5	1.91	15.7	14.2	1.47
Elliot Perry	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.5	-0.27	11.6	15.6	-4.03
Johnny Newman	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-6	7	16.6	16.3	0.30	14.0	15.5	-1.52
Scott Burrell	44	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-3	1	17.0	15.9	1.17	14.5	15.3	-0.74
Stephon Marbury	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	16.5	16.2	0.27	15.6	11.6	4.03
Jim McIlvaine	49	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	15.8	17.1	-1.32	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Keith Van Horn	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	16.0	17.1	-1.15	15.0	14.7	0.32
Kendall Gill	59	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	7	-19	16.7	16.0	0.69	14.7	15.2	-0.41

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	33	33	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-11	27	14.5	15.1	-0.63	19.4	14.7	4.65
Paul Pierce	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	7	-9	14.8	15.0	-0.20	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Antoine Walker	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	6	-7	14.8	15.1	-0.36	16.1	17.1	-0.96
Kenny Anderson	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	3	-1	14.5	15.7	-1.15	15.2	18.8	-3.56
Adrian Griffin	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.60	-9	14	-23	15.4	14.3	1.11	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Vitaly Potapenko	60	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	9	-13	15.2	14.4	0.79	15.0	18.9	-3.84
Dana Barros	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-3	11	15.6	14.6	0.92	19.4	15.2	4.20
Calbert Cheaney	55	57	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.20	12	-7	19	14.3	15.8	-1.45	16.0	17.1	-1.18
Doug Overton	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	-1	7	14.2	15.1	-0.88	19.6	15.7	3.89
Walter McCarty	14	16	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.18	7	-2	9	14.4	15.0	-0.63	19.1	15.8	3.28
Danny Fortson	11	11	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	15	-25	18.5	14.4	4.15	14.2	16.7	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.38,0.39,0.54,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	89.4%
LAL 86, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.77,0.58,1	89.2%
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	89.1%