NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	6.6 [498]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): +11.2%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	2.0 [616]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -11.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	17	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.02	25	65%	0.08	5	-0.15	12	58%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	17	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	14	71%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	9	72%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	26.2	38.6	22.6	2.3	42.7	158.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.2%

HOU +5.1%

HOU +35.2%

PHI -17.4%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	16.5	15.2	112.8	117.2	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.5		103.5	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	14.6	15.5	14.0	14.3
HOU	13.8	18.1	17.3	17.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	69	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.45	16	-19	35	14.1	15.0	-0.89	16.9	15.4	1.46
Tyrone Hill	59	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-6	9	15.1	13.0	2.04	16.3	16.8	-0.43
Eric Snow	73	70	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-12	21	14.1	15.1	-1.01	16.9	15.2	1.77
Theo Ratliff	77	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-11	19	14.2	14.7	-0.49	16.8	15.2	1.52
Allen Iverson	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-11	19	14.1	15.5	-1.43	16.1	19.2	-3.15
Billy Owens	14	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	9	-21	15.0	14.2	0.81	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Aaron McKie	48	48	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	2	-7	14.1	14.5	-0.46	17.4	15.5	1.93
Larry Hughes	25	26	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	14	-31	14.5	14.2	0.29	15.4	16.9	-1.50
Matt Geiger	24	23	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	22	-47	14.6	14.2	0.37	14.5	17.2	-2.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	65	66	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.38	18	-15	33	17.1	15.2	1.85	14.7	13.3	1.41
Hakeem Olajuwon	43	44	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.08	24	-21	45	16.2	16.8	-0.55	15.1	13.6	1.43
Cuttino Mobley	48	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	17.4	15.5	1.93	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Shandon Anderson	77	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	3	-3	16.3	17.7	-1.43	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Bryce Drew	22	23	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	0	3	17.1	16.3	0.83	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Steve Francis	70	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	3	-3	16.5	16.4	0.15	14.6	13.3	1.33
Kelvin Cato	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	11	-19	17.1	16.3	0.80	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Walt Williams	47	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	15.9	17.1	-1.24	14.5	14.1	0.40
Matt Bullard	42	42	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	15	-27	15.7	17.2	-1.44	14.3	14.3	0.04
Anthony Miller	24	24	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	16	-29	15.7	16.8	-1.07	13.9	14.4	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.51,0.52,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 88, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%
DET 106, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	92.4%