inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 82 Excitement3.0 [1152] MVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): +14.1%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback1.8 [985] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -19.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.02944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Don Reid0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Crotty-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01760%0.011-0.026100%0.01
Jud Buechler-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Curry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01656%-0.002-0.036100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011439%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.03968%0.034-0.07475%0.01
Jerome Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.01-0.06230%-0.022-0.03650%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.200,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.26-0.02-0.091740%-0.058-0.15956%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.030.051482%0.142-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.041371%0.0900.002100%0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00683%0.0520.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.01-0.051650%0.072-0.034100%0.01
Rex Walters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.000.07580%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01580%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00660%-0.013-0.02333%-0.02
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.0310.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.626.215.625.71.724.3118.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.2%
DET -2.9%
MIA +0.1%
MIA +14.7%
DET -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game15.914.315.285.4109.5101.7
season14.115.7104.2101.2
opponent15.915.398.2103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.216.616.914.015.9
MIA12.014.114.416.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Montross980.00-0.500.50-0.186-283411.916.3-4.4220.613.76.96
Don Reid11100.00-0.500.50-0.062-242613.016.3-3.2719.013.75.31
Terry Mills5454-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-12217.114.42.7413.515.2-1.66
Lindsey Hunter6564-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-171216.414.81.6114.813.11.67
Michael Curry5857-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-12214.917.5-2.6113.215.8-2.56
John Crotty4039-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-11014.117.1-2.9914.714.00.70
Jerome Williams4444-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-7-815.416.3-0.9413.914.5-0.64
Jud Buechler5454-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-15-7-817.214.22.9915.213.02.25
Jerry Stackhouse7171-0.38-0.12-0.260.35-253-2816.314.91.3713.616.1-2.51
Christian Laettner7474-0.520.02-0.530.28-275-3216.214.71.5213.616.4-2.73

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard64630.460.040.41-0.101931614.314.20.0917.013.73.35
Clar. Weatherspoon51510.390.110.28-0.05157815.113.31.7414.617.4-2.75
Mark Strickland26260.280.220.070.05814-617.213.14.0515.216.1-0.91
Tim Hardaway46440.280.220.06-0.071210214.613.90.6917.514.52.96
Alonzo Mourning54530.270.230.03-0.17157813.615.1-1.5317.414.13.27
Otis Thorpe32330.260.240.02-0.18157814.214.3-0.1014.716.5-1.83
Anthony Carter41430.220.28-0.06-0.251661012.615.5-2.8915.116.5-1.45
Jamal Mashburn69700.220.28-0.07-0.19148613.117.2-4.0516.115.20.91
P.J. Brown45460.090.41-0.33-0.06517-1213.015.3-2.3017.314.62.66
Rex Walters890.000.50-0.500.18-628-3420.613.76.9611.916.3-4.42
Duane Causwell890.000.50-0.500.18-628-3420.613.76.9611.916.3-4.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 84, UTA 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
TOR 99, UTA 1310.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIN 74, DET 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%