NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	9.1 [107]		MVP	Malik Sealy (MIN): +85.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	11.7 [78]		LVP	William Avery (MIN): -18.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.24	0.03	0.21	-0.00	4	93%	0.38	3	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.21	-0.05	0.27	0.00	8	44%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21	-0.00	0.21	-0.00	13	55%	0.26	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Rik Smits	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	14	67%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	14	53%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	8	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.85	0.85	0.02	0.82	-0.01	16	48%	0.85	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.5	0.50	0.13	0.38	0.01	26	64%	0.56	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	12	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	26.6	17.0	27.0	2.4	33.6	134.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +62.4%

IND -29.4%

IND -2.5%

MIN +14.3%

MIN +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.2	111.1	109.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.1		106.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	17.3	16.0	18.6	15.8
MIN	14.5	17.8	16.7	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	55	59	0.88	-1.38	2.26	0.47	14	-15	29	14.6	17.7	-3.15	15.9	15.8	0.11
Rik Smits	32	35	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.27	-4	3	-7	16.5	15.4	1.10	16.3	15.6	0.69
Austin Croshere	61	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-15	29	15.4	16.5	-1.07	16.5	14.5	2.01
Chris Mullin	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-1	1	16.7	15.4	1.33	16.3	15.6	0.71
Sam Perkins	45	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-2	3	15.3	16.2	-0.91	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Jalen Rose	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.43	-1	0	-1	15.9	15.3	0.53	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Reggie Miller	73	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	0	-1	15.4	17.6	-2.29	15.8	16.2	-0.47
Dale Davis	42	43	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.58	-13	12	-25	16.2	15.4	0.84	15.1	16.5	-1.35
Travis Best	35	33	-1.38	0.88	-2.26	-0.94	-15	14	-29	17.7	14.6	3.15	15.8	15.9	-0.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	42	42	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.77	0	1	-1	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Anthony Peeler	52	50	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.58	5	-4	9	16.0	15.7	0.33	17.0	14.3	2.68
Kevin Garnett	79	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.55	6	-5	11	16.1	14.3	1.81	16.5	11.2	5.33
Malik Sealy	78	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-7	15	15.5	17.7	-2.19	16.1	13.5	2.66
Bobby Jackson	56	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-5	11	15.6	16.2	-0.60	17.6	12.6	4.98
William Avery	36	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	16.2	15.6	0.60	12.6	17.6	-4.98
Rasho Nesterovic	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	2	-3	16.3	15.6	0.69	14.9	16.4	-1.41
Joe Smith	51	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.32	2	-1	3	14.5	17.5	-2.98	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Wally Szczerbiak	30	27	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.02	-16	17	-33	16.8	15.4	1.40	13.6	16.7	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, PHX 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,1	91.4%
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	91.3%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	91.1%