NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	6.8 [468]		MVP	Greg Foster (SEA): +12.0%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.9 [644]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -27.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Foster	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	6	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09	-0.06	0.07	-0.08	28	48%	0.12	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Emanual Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	5	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	14	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	11	21%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	93%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	14	75%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.10	-0.04	15	19%	-0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	23.5	16.6	25.2	2.3	32.6	127.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +20.1%

HOU -2.8%

HOU -2.5%

SEA +32.4%

SEA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	15.0	15.2	105.1	97.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		103.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.4		103.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.3	14.3	15.2	14.2	14.2
HOU	15.5	13.9	15.5	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	83	82	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-8	23	14.0	15.4	-1.38	14.6	16.7	-2.06
Vernon Maxwell	63	63	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-7	21	14.3	14.1	0.14	15.6	14.0	1.53
Horace Grant	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	14.2	14.6	-0.43	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Gary Payton	89	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	1	5	14.4	12.9	1.48	14.7	17.7	-3.00
Brent Barry	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	5	-3	13.8	15.0	-1.13	14.7	15.5	-0.71
Ruben Patterson	58	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	5	-3	14.4	14.0	0.35	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Emanual Davis	4	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	14.5	14.2	0.28	16.2	14.9	1.26
Greg Foster	27	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	15.1	13.9	1.21	16.4	14.4	2.00
Rashard Lewis	23	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	13	-19	14.3	14.2	0.03	14.8	15.1	-0.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Hamilton	23	23	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-13	19	15.9	14.7	1.19	14.4	14.2	0.20
Walt Williams	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-10	13	13.9	15.6	-1.70	14.4	14.2	0.23
Kenny Thomas	33	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-12	17	15.1	15.0	0.09	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Bryce Drew	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-8	9	14.5	15.5	-0.93	14.3	14.2	0.05
Shandon Anderson	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	1	-9	15.5	14.5	0.93	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Steve Francis	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-5	3	15.1	14.5	0.63	14.2	14.2	0.02
Matt Bullard	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	5	-17	15.0	15.1	-0.09	14.5	13.8	0.67
Carlos Rogers	76	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.26	-13	6	-19	14.7	15.9	-1.19	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Cuttino Mobley	80	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.22	-15	8	-23	15.4	13.4	1.95	14.2	14.5	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.18,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.0%
MIL 94, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0	92.9%
UTA 94, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0	92.7%