NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	10.1 [55]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +19.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	7.2 [240]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -52.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.2	0.16	0.07	0.02	22	73%	0.32	3	-0.12	7	100%	0.17
Lawrence Funderburke	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Corliss Williamson	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Jon Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	5	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.07
Tony Delk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.17	8	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	-0.52	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.52,-0.52	-0.12	-0.37	0.03	17	45%	-0.30	5	-0.22	6	67%	-0.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	8	82%	0.24	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	7	43%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.04	15	68%	0.08	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.03
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	9	55%	0.01	6	-0.23	4	25%	-0.04
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.37	-0.37	-0.08	-0.28	0.01	18	50%	-0.26	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	26.4	15.5	28.3	2.4	46.6	143.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -39.7%

SAC +57.3%

SAC +29.7%

CLE -0.5%

SAC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	13.3	15.2	105.7	101.9	101.7
season	13.8	14.1		102.9	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.7		101.5	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	15.1	12.1	13.7	14.1
CLE	13.6	13.1	13.6	12.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	91	92	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	13.6	17.4	-3.73	13.5	12.0	1.49
Chris Webber	97	97	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-5	14	13.9	16.4	-2.44	13.5	10.6	2.90
Vlade Divac	67	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-10	24	13.4	15.4	-1.99	14.0	12.0	1.94
Peja Stojakovic	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.44	-7	11	-18	15.4	13.3	2.11	12.3	14.0	-1.74
Tyrone Corbin	12	11	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-7	18	12.5	14.3	-1.83	13.7	13.3	0.47
Tony Delk	11	11	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	-7	18	12.0	14.4	-2.37	13.7	13.3	0.47
Jon Barry	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.42	-9	13	-22	15.1	13.4	1.77	12.2	14.1	-1.86
Nick Anderson	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	2	0	13.7	14.5	-0.84	14.2	12.5	1.65
Corliss Williamson	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	4	-4	13.4	14.7	-1.31	14.1	12.6	1.50
Darrick Martin	17	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	12	-20	14.8	14.0	0.83	11.5	13.6	-2.14
Scot Pollard	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	9	-14	16.4	13.9	2.44	10.6	13.5	-2.90
Lawrence Funderburke	35	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	15	-26	16.5	13.0	3.50	12.3	13.8	-1.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	31	31	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.08	12	-16	28	12.0	13.9	-1.90	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Mark Hendrickson	11	12	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-13	22	10.8	13.6	-2.78	20.0	13.4	6.63
Andre Miller	45	45	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.21	13	-17	30	13.0	13.5	-0.46	14.3	14.0	0.37
Andrew DeClercq	51	49	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.30	13	-17	30	12.5	14.1	-1.66	14.7	13.6	1.15
Cedric Henderson	44	42	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-9	14	13.6	13.1	0.53	14.0	14.2	-0.13
Mark Bryant	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	6	-16	14.0	11.9	2.10	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Lamond Murray	61	63	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	5	-14	13.1	13.6	-0.53	14.2	14.0	0.13
Brevin Knight	60	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.18	-17	13	-30	13.5	13.0	0.46	14.0	14.3	-0.37
Bob Sura	76	77	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.37	-17	13	-30	13.7	12.2	1.47	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Shawn Kemp	78	78	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.31	-19	15	-34	13.7	12.1	1.56	13.6	15.7	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.24,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	89.6%
ORL 97, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	89.4%
MIA 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0	89.3%