inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 86 Excitement4.4 [908] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): +11.8%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.3 [1084] LVPCherokee Parks (VAN): -11.5%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Milt Palacio0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02456%0.021-0.001100%0.00
Brent Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Obinna Ekezie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Bryant Reeves-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.001156%-0.001-0.00367%-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.09-0.02-0.101943%0.042-0.05862%-0.03
Othella Harrington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01567%0.023-0.052100%-0.00
Dennis Scott-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Felipe Lopez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.02540%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001547%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Michael Dickerson-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.031640%-0.051-0.033100%0.02
Cherokee Parks-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.0150%-0.081-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.01-0.021073%0.1210.00250%-0.01
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.020.02865%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00480%0.052-0.032100%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.04-0.00-0.04350%-0.001-0.006100%0.02
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02337%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.031465%0.053-0.06667%-0.02
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.010.021246%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021661%0.096-0.134100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.91.828.415.425.52.429.6124.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.6%
DEN +3.3%
DEN +7.0%
VAN -3.2%
VAN -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANDENNBAVANDENNBA
this game15.713.315.286.9109.0101.7
season15.914.899.5101.5
opponent15.015.0103.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN15.015.018.214.415.7
DEN13.812.710.616.213.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brent Price670.00-0.500.50-0.031-242510.216.0-5.8819.112.86.31
Obinna Ekezie9100.00-0.500.500.03-1-222113.415.9-2.4716.612.93.70
Bryant Reeves5255-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-232315.016.5-1.4914.112.21.91
Milt Palacio2628-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-181315.215.8-0.6214.812.72.11
Felipe Lopez3839-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-222115.216.0-0.7713.113.4-0.32
Dennis Scott4646-0.11-0.390.270.18-10-13315.615.8-0.2313.113.4-0.30
Cherokee Parks4040-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-191514.716.4-1.6613.812.90.92
Mike Bibby7372-0.44-0.06-0.370.09-18-5-1315.815.20.6212.714.8-2.11
Othella Harrington5353-0.49-0.01-0.470.25-252-2717.313.83.5611.814.9-3.14
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7977-0.510.01-0.510.20-241-2516.114.02.0512.814.9-2.13
Michael Dickerson7373-0.600.10-0.700.22-285-3316.114.41.7113.113.7-0.64

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ron Mercer66670.60-0.100.70-0.2529-63512.215.4-3.2016.913.23.74
Keon Clark62600.58-0.080.670.031941513.013.7-0.6715.316.2-0.90
Nick Van Exel68700.54-0.040.58-0.2828-53312.714.4-1.6716.414.02.39
Antonio McDyess53540.450.050.41-0.132031712.314.4-2.1017.114.03.09
James Posey49480.440.060.39-0.03167912.014.5-2.4116.315.11.21
George McCloud40410.060.44-0.39-0.06419-1513.912.81.0515.615.8-0.21
Raef LaFrentz67680.050.45-0.40-0.271112-113.712.51.1715.316.5-1.25
Ryan Bowen11100.000.50-0.50-0.09320-1716.512.93.5813.216.0-2.77
Cory Alexander3229-0.040.54-0.580.11-528-3314.412.71.6714.016.4-2.39
Roy Rogers1816-0.090.59-0.680.03-427-3115.612.82.8613.916.0-2.09
Bryant Stith3432-0.100.60-0.700.07-629-3515.412.23.2013.216.9-3.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 107, SAS 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
BOS 102, BKN 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,195.4%
PHX 92, HOU 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%