NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	4.4 [962]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): +15.3%
Brooklyn Nets	109		Comeback	1.4 [510]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -14.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	18	56%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.22	0.02	0.17	19	69%	0.06	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.03
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	2	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	35%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.14	0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	12	29%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.02	-0.04	26	63%	0.22	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.01	11	76%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	15	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	27.3	15.4	23.8	0.7	34.3	127.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.6%

BKN +4.5%

BKN +16.8%

BOS -5.4%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.3	103.0	110.1	109.3
season	13.9	14.3		109.9	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.7		109.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	13.9	17.0	11.2	14.0
BKN	14.3	15.5	13.0	17.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Wanamaker	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.31	11	-18	29	12.3	15.9	-3.67	16.8	13.2	3.52
Guerschon Yabusele	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-21	35	10.7	15.2	-4.49	17.1	14.4	2.79
Semi Ojeleye	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-1	-5	15.0	13.7	1.31	16.5	14.7	1.78
Daniel Theis	41	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-11	15	11.8	15.5	-3.65	15.7	14.7	1.03
Jaylen Brown	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.57	14	-21	35	13.6	14.7	-1.17	16.3	12.8	3.45
Robert Williams III	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	0	-7	14.8	13.8	1.01	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Al Horford	39	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	15.8	12.8	3.05	15.4	14.9	0.43
Gordon Hayward	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	15	-37	14.3	13.6	0.75	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Terry Rozier	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	4	-15	15.5	12.3	3.22	13.6	16.9	-3.31
Marcus Morris	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	8	-23	15.3	12.6	2.69	13.5	16.9	-3.40
Jayson Tatum	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	6	-19	14.2	13.2	1.01	14.3	17.6	-3.32

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-6	19	14.4	16.7	-2.31	14.3	13.3	0.99
Joe Harris	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-3	13	14.6	16.6	-1.97	14.3	13.0	1.28
DeMarre Carroll	68	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-3	13	15.2	14.9	0.27	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Treveon Graham	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	0	7	15.0	15.2	-0.20	14.3	13.5	0.77
D'Angelo Russell	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	5	-3	15.4	14.1	1.32	14.5	12.2	2.27
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	2	3	14.8	15.5	-0.72	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Rodions Kurucs	71	70	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	15.3	14.6	0.67	13.3	15.7	-2.43
Ed Davis	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	13	-19	17.5	14.2	3.27	13.6	14.1	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 71, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 70, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
VAN 86, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%