NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	8.6 [159]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +38.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	14.0 [58]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (TOR): -19.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.39	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,-0.02,0.11,0.39	0.09	0.30	-0.00	22	65%	0.58	3	-0.19	11	100%	0.10
Antonio Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.15	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Doug Christie	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	67%	0.16	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Muggsy Bogues	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04	-0.12	0.08	0.01	8	25%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	11	36%	-0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	18	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.06
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	53%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	18	49%	-0.04	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	0.00	0.00	14	32%	-0.11	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	31.6	15.7	25.1	1.7	40.3	142.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +86.2%

TOR +0.4%

CLE -16.6%

CLE -18.9%

CLE -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.2	98.0	96.9	101.7
season	15.5	14.1		101.8	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	13.1	15.4	12.6	13.9
CLE	13.8	15.2	15.9	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	56	56	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.58	16	-13	29	15.6	11.7	3.80	15.2	15.2	0.02
Doug Christie	67	67	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.63	13	-10	23	13.7	14.2	-0.45	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Antonio Davis	62	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	15.4	11.5	3.88	15.5	14.7	0.80
Vince Carter	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	0	3	13.8	14.7	-0.95	15.0	17.7	-2.69
Tracy McGrady	71	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	3	-3	13.3	15.4	-2.16	15.6	14.4	1.14
Alvin Williams	44	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	13.1	14.5	-1.37	14.0	16.3	-2.30
Michael Stewart	35	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	11.3	15.2	-3.90	15.9	14.9	1.01
Muggsy Bogues	34	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.17	-5	8	-13	14.8	13.4	1.39	16.3	14.7	1.51
Kevin Willis	42	41	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.24	-7	10	-17	13.2	14.4	-1.23	15.6	15.0	0.58

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	42	41	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.24	-3	0	-3	16.6	14.2	2.36	13.9	13.8	0.08
Wesley Person	35	35	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.0	0.63	12.4	14.7	-2.32
Cedric Henderson	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.0	0.71	14.7	13.5	1.25
Andre Miller	39	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	4	-11	17.2	13.9	3.20	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Andrew DeClercq	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-5	7	15.3	15.0	0.23	14.6	11.3	3.28
Brevin Knight	59	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	13.9	17.2	-3.20	14.2	13.4	0.75
Lamond Murray	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.52	5	-8	13	14.7	16.5	-1.84	13.1	15.7	-2.55
Bob Sura	66	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.58	-1	-2	1	14.5	16.7	-2.17	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	72	75	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.70	-4	1	-5	15.2	15.4	-0.27	14.2	13.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.86,0.63,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 78, TOR 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	92.1%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	91.2%
BOS 82, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0	91.0%