NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +18.3%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.6 [551]		LVP	Cedric Ceballos (DAL): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.00	13	61%	0.18	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Malik Sealy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	7	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	18	64%	0.24	7	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
William Avery	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	68%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Rick Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	4	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	13	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.15	-0.03	19	58%	-0.03	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	16	42%	0.01	3	-0.17	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.6	28.4	15.8	23.1	1.6	43.3	138.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +63.4%

MIN +1.1%

DAL -17.1%

DAL -7.6%

MIN +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.2	111.3	106.1	101.7
season	15.1	14.8		103.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.7		104.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	13.8	17.5	14.8	14.8
DAL	12.9	15.6	16.0	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	14.7	15.3	-0.60	14.1	16.8	-2.73
Sam Mitchell	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	1	2	14.8	15.0	-0.20	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Kevin Garnett	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.40	-1	5	-6	14.9	14.4	0.49	14.2	17.1	-2.83
Wally Szczerbiak	86	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	3	-2	14.6	16.6	-2.02	14.8	13.8	1.00
Malik Sealy	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	2	0	14.2	15.9	-1.75	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	22	20	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	-5	14	17.9	13.9	3.96	17.5	14.0	3.59
Anthony Peeler	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	2	0	15.9	14.2	1.75	14.7	14.7	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	2	0	14.2	15.2	-1.03	15.0	14.6	0.40
Andrae Patterson	11	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	0	4	12.9	15.1	-2.18	14.3	14.8	-0.45
William Avery	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	13.5	14.9	-1.40	11.6	14.9	-3.26
Bobby Jackson	23	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	15.3	14.7	0.60	16.8	14.1	2.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-7	10	14.2	15.0	-0.72	12.8	16.1	-3.29
Rick Hughes	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-3	2	11.2	15.0	-3.82	10.3	15.3	-4.97
Gary Trent	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.4	-1.42	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Cedric Ceballos	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	16.1	12.4	3.67	15.8	13.3	2.50
Dirk Nowitzki	80	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	3	-10	14.7	14.7	0.03	15.1	13.7	1.38
Michael Finley	94	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	14.3	24.5	-10.22	14.7	17.5	-2.77
Shawn Bradley	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	15.5	13.0	2.49	16.0	12.2	3.81
Hubert Davis	95	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	2	-8	14.5	20.0	-5.47	14.7	18.7	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	92.7%
ATL 110, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.09,0	92.4%
NOH 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.17,0	92.1%